Who will have a top 10 song this year? (2026)

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Dec 26 · $1.3K today · $85.6K traded · $39.1K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

100%Zach Bryan
  • Zach Bryan100%
  • Tate McRae100%
  • Chappell Roan100%
  • Lana Del Rey99%▲ 1
  • Mariah Carey98%
  • Michael Jackson81%▼ 13
  • Post Malone80%
  • Young Thug75%
  • SZA44%
  • Kendrick Lamar39%
  • Tyler, The Creator39%
  • 21 Savage35%
93 more
  • The Weeknd35%▲ 2
  • Sabrina Carpenter30%
  • Megan Thee Stallion27%▲ 5
  • SIENNA SPIRO27%
  • KATSEYE22%▲ 1
  • Dua Lipa20%
  • Eminem16%▼ 1
  • Lil Uzi Vert16%
  • Travis Scott14%
  • Nicki Minaj14%
  • Doja Cat14%
  • Benson Boone14%
  • Lady Gaga13%
  • Luke Combs13%
  • Kali Uchis13%
  • Central Cee13%▼ 9
  • Kanye West / Ye12%▼ 1
  • PARTYNEXTDOOR10%
  • Rihanna10%▼ 1
  • Lil Wayne9%
  • John Mayer9%
  • Joji9%
  • Gracie Abrams9%▼ 1
  • A$AP Rocky8%▲ 1
  • Yeat8%
  • Stray Kids7%
  • Coldplay7%
  • Rauw Alejandro7%
  • YoungBoy Never Broke Again7%
  • Billie Eilish6%
  • Ozuna6%
  • Chris Brown6%
  • Kodak Black6%
  • Tyla6%
  • Doechii6%
  • Lola Young6%
  • David Guetta6%
  • Linkin Park6%
  • Daft Punk6%
  • Kid Cudi6%
  • Fred again..6%
  • Sia5%
  • Sam Smith5%
  • USHER5%
  • Pharrell Williams5%
  • Offset5%
  • EsDeeKid5%
  • Trippie Redd5%
  • Charlie Puth5%
  • 2 Chainz5%
  • Camilo5%
  • Logic5%
  • Charli xcx5%▲ 1
  • ROSALÍA5%
  • Childish Gambino5%
  • Lil Yachty5%
  • Dolly Parton5%
  • J Balvin4%
  • Maroon 54%
  • Justin Timberlake4%

How the odds have moved

Zach Bryan: 96% on Oct 20, 100% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Zach Bryan 100% 99¢ 11.1K
Tate McRae 100% 99¢ 2.0K
Chappell Roan 100% 99¢ 11.2K
Lana Del Rey 99% ▲ 1 98¢ $1.01 3.6K
✓ KAROL G 99% $1.01 11.7K
✓ Don Toliver 99% ▼ 1 $1.01 14.5K
✓ Dominic Fike 99% $1.01 6.4K
Mariah Carey 98% 96¢ 99¢ $1.01 2.3K
Michael Jackson 81% ▼ 13 82¢ 97¢ $1.03 5.3K
Post Malone 80% 16¢ 94¢ $1.06 625
Young Thug 75% 5¢ 28¢ $3.57 390
SZA 44% 34¢ 49¢ $2.04 5.4K
Kendrick Lamar 39% 8¢ 74¢ $1.35 2.2K
Tyler, The Creator 39% 13¢ 48¢ $2.08 1.3K
21 Savage 35% 5¢ 21¢ $4.76 359
The Weeknd 35% ▲ 2 34¢ 35¢ $2.86 5.2K
Sabrina Carpenter 30% 24¢ 75¢ $1.33 1.3K
Megan Thee Stallion 27% ▲ 5 10¢ 27¢ $3.70 734
SIENNA SPIRO 27% 12¢ 25¢ $4.00 2.8K
KATSEYE 22% ▲ 1 19¢ 25¢ $4.00 6.5K
Dua Lipa 20% 3¢ 15¢ $6.67 885
Eminem 16% ▼ 1 14¢ 44¢ $2.27 852
Lil Uzi Vert 16% 11¢ 20¢ $5.00 3.6K
Travis Scott 14% 16¢ 48¢ $2.08 2.1K
Nicki Minaj 14% 10¢ 18¢ $5.56 5.1K
Doja Cat 14% 3¢ 14¢ $7.14 324
Benson Boone 14% 1¢ 16¢ $6.25 358
Lady Gaga 13% 14¢ 50¢ $2.00 1.7K
Luke Combs 13% 9¢ 17¢ $5.88 5.1K
Kali Uchis 13% 1¢ 13¢ $7.69 151
Central Cee 13% ▼ 9 9¢ 17¢ $5.88 939
Kanye West / Ye 12% ▼ 1 10¢ 13¢ $7.69 19.4K
PARTYNEXTDOOR 10% 3¢ 16¢ $6.25 720
Rihanna 10% ▼ 1 6¢ 13¢ $7.69 1.8K
Lil Wayne 9% 5¢ 13¢ $7.69 716
John Mayer 9% 5¢ 13¢ $7.69 2.4K
Joji 9% 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 3.8K
Gracie Abrams 9% ▼ 1 7¢ 10¢ $10.00 6.1K
A$AP Rocky 8% ▲ 1 5¢ 10¢ $10.00 1.6K
Yeat 8% 6¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.4K
Stray Kids 7% 4¢ 10¢ $10.00 1.9K
Coldplay 7% 3¢ 10¢ $10.00 4.00
Rauw Alejandro 7% 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 122
YoungBoy Never Broke Again 7% 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 600
Billie Eilish 6% 7¢ 76¢ $1.32 7.9K
Ozuna 6% 1¢ 11¢ $9.09 52.00
Chris Brown 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.5K
Kodak Black 6% 2¢ 10¢ $10.00 84.00
Tyla 6% 3¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.2K
Doechii 6% 6¢ 32¢ $3.13 3.7K
Lola Young 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 344
David Guetta 6% 1¢ 10¢ $10.00
Linkin Park 6% 1¢ 10¢ $10.00 102
Daft Punk 6% 1¢ 10¢ $10.00
Kid Cudi 6% 1¢ 10¢ $10.00 9.00
Fred again.. 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 917
Sia 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11
Sam Smith 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 60.00
USHER 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 101
Pharrell Williams 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 440
Offset 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 6.00
EsDeeKid 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.6K
Trippie Redd 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 538
Charlie Puth 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 950
2 Chainz 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 651
Camilo 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 40.00
Logic 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 25.00
Charli xcx 5% ▲ 1 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 3.8K
ROSALÍA 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.0K
Childish Gambino 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 250
Lil Yachty 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 138
Dolly Parton 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 4.7K
J Balvin 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.00
Maroon 5 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 115
Justin Timberlake 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 351
BLACKPINK 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 4.9K
Migos 4% ▼ 31 4¢ 33¢ $3.03 8.00
The Kid LAROI 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 2.0K
NF 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 127
mgk 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 772
Frank Ocean 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 56.00
Clairo 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 435
Anuel AA 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 25.00
Quavo 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 311
Jason Derulo 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 145
Swae Lee 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 356
Big Sean 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 52.00
Ice Spice 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 146
The Marías 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 402
Grimes 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 157
Khalid 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 10.00
Beyoncé 3% 8¢ 63¢ $1.59 2.8K
J. Cole 3% 11¢ $9.09 16.8K
Shawn Mendes 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 39.00
Bebe Rexha 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 150
Fall Out Boy 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 75.00
Lewis Capaldi 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 708
Roddy Ricch 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 944
Daniel Caesar 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 51.00
Bryson Tiller 3% 3¢ 96¢ $1.04 5.00
Lil Nas X 3% 3¢ 18¢ $5.56 596
Addison Rae 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 936
Shaboozey 3% 6¢ 17¢ $5.88 1.5K
Calvin Harris 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 250
Tyga 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 10.00
Ed Sheeran 1% 1¢ 17¢ $5.88 410
Lil Baby 1% 6¢ 38¢ $2.63 1.3K
Geese 1% 1¢ 12¢ $8.33 370

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Zach Bryan, Tate McRae, Chappell Roan

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  • JAY-Z72%▼ 15
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  • Lady Gaga8%▲ 4
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  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
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  • Rauw Alejandro100%
  • SZA100%
  • PinkPantheress100%
127 more
  • Cardi B100%
  • Lana Del Rey87%▲ 16
  • Young Thug74%▲ 1
  • Don Toliver74%▲ 1
  • Kodak Black73%▲ 4
  • Dua Lipa72%▼ 4
  • Kali Uchis57%▼ 1
  • Doechii55%▲ 17
  • Lil Uzi Vert49%▼ 4
  • Lil Wayne49%▲ 6
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  • Drake33%▲ 5
  • Bruno Mars33%
  • Tyler, The Creator33%▲ 1
  • Sabrina Carpenter31%▼ 1
  • Imagine Dragons31%▲ 22
  • The Kid LAROI28%▼ 10
  • Quavo27%▲ 5
  • ROSALÍA27%▼ 1
  • Justin Bieber27%
  • Ozuna27%
  • Sexyy Red27%▼ 1
  • JAY-Z26%▼ 1
  • Post Malone25%▲ 1
  • Tyla25%▼ 1
  • Pharrell Williams24%▼ 1
  • Eminem24%▼ 2
  • Nicki Minaj24%▲ 1
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  • YoungBoy Never Broke Again21%▲ 9
  • Jason Derulo20%
  • Leon Thomas20%▼ 1
  • Shaboozey20%
  • Billie Eilish19%▼ 2
  • Calvin Harris19%▼ 1
  • Chris Brown18%▼ 1
  • Offset18%
  • 2 Chainz17%
  • Bryson Tiller17%
  • Kendrick Lamar17%▼ 4
  • Coldplay17%▼ 3
  • Lil Baby17%▼ 1
  • Guns N' Roses17%
  • Lola Young16%
  • Miley Cyrus16%▼ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions