Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%
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WI-01 House winner? (2026)
The odds
56%Bryan Steil
- Bryan Steil56%
- Mitchell Berman45%
How the odds have moved
Bryan Steil: 61% on Oct 20, 56% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Steil | 56% | 55¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 86.7K | |
| Mitchell Berman | 45% | 44¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 56.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WI- House, Bryan Steil, Mitchell Berman
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Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Republicans have held Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District for decades. Could this be the year it flips?Incumbent Republican US Rep. Bryan Steil faces Democratic challenger Mitchell Berman in the closely watched district On a chilly fall night in late September, dozens of people packed into the pews at Greendale Community Church. One year… -
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… - Press Release: Mary Miller and Bryan Steil Seek Answers Over Champaign County Election ErrorsLawmakers seek answers on Champaign County voting problems: Rep. Mary Miller and House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil said they were asking the Champaign County Clerk and Recorder for an explanation after early voting was…
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House Republicans subpoena New Jersey for noncitizen voter recordsMikie Sherrill’s administration has only produced 12 documents in three months, the subpoena alleges. House Judiciary Chair Jim Jordan and three of his fellow Republicans have issued a subpoena for records on how thousands of noncitizens… -
Wisconsin election: Steil, Berman debate in Congressional raceThe November election is two weeks away. Early in-person voting is underway. The race for governor headlines the ballot, but it will also feature federal, statewide, and local races and referendums. MILWAUKEE - With early voting kicking… -
LCV Action Fund Announces Latest Endorsements for U.S. House of RepresentativesAction Fund, which works to elect candidates who will fight to lower energy costs, build a clean energy economy, and strengthen our democracy for all, announced endorsements for six candidates running ... LCV Action Fund Announces Latest… -
Big Beautiful Bill defended, slammed in Congressional debatesBy Benjamin Yount | The Center Square Tuesday saw two debates in two races for Congress. In western Wisconsin, Republican Congressman Derrick Van Orden and Democrat challenger Rebecca Cooke met for a candidate forum. The two are locked in… -
Medicaid’s $1 billion boost is real. Hospitals pay the state’s share, and cuts start in 2028.Racine County Eye is paid for by readers. You've been reading our reporting — will you chip in to keep it free for everyone in Racine County? U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany, the Republican candidate for governor, credited Congress. Steil used the… -
Steil, Berman face off in debate for 1st Congressional District seatWisconsin’s 1st Congressional District incumbent U.S. Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Janesville) and his Democratic party challenger, Mitchell Berman, parried for an hour Tuesday in their only face-to-face encounter scheduled before the Nov. 3… -
House Democrats Sign Up 275 Staffers as Election ObserversRep. Joe Morelle (D–N.Y.) said 275 Democratic House staffers have signed up to serve as official election observers for the Nov. 3 midterms, a record for the party. Morelle, the top Democrat on the Committee on House Administration… -
Steil, Berman clash in Janesville debate over inflation, health care, campaign financeCongressman Bryan Steil (R-Janesville) discusses his opposition to the Clean Air Act’s regulations. Democratic congressional candidate Mitchell Berman talks to supporters at Wilson’s Coffee and Tea in Racine, Wis., Tuesday, Sept. 22, 2026…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions