Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%▼ 1
- Republican Party10%▲ 1
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IA-01 House winner? (2026)
The odds
92%Christina Bohannan
- Christina Bohannan92%
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks8%▼ 1
- Michael Bridgford1%
How the odds have moved
Christina Bohannan: 90% on Oct 20, 92% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Bohannan | 92% | 91¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 258.4K | |
| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 8% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 130.9K |
| Michael Bridgford | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 100 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IA- House, Christina Bohannan, Mariannette Miller-Meeks
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Photos: Josh Turek and Christina Bohannan rally Democrats in DavenportDemocratic candidates for U.S. Senate, Josh Turek, and Iowa's 1st Congressional District, Christina Bohannan rallied Democrats for a Get Out the Vote Rally in Davenport Thursday. Democratic candidate for Iowa's 1st Congressional District… - Iowa 1st Congressional District candidates Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Christina BohannanNewsBreak: Local News & Alerts Timothy Gerard Mckernan has been missing from Petaluma, California (Sonoma County), since April 23, 1973, according to the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children (NCMEC). Great Dog Rescue New…
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Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Christina Bohannan debate for Iowa's 1st Congressional DistrictCandidates for Iowa's 1st Congressional District debated at St. Ambrose University Tuesday night, just two weeks out from election day. This was the first and only debate scheduled between the two, and both spent a lot of their time… -
Michael Bridgford launches 20-County Door TourMichael Bridgford, independent candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives Iowa’s First District. DAVENPORT, Iowa — This week, Independent candidate Michael Bridgford announced the launch of his aggressive 20-County Door Tour, taking… -
Where does Mariannette Miller-Meeks actually live?Mariannette Miller-Meeks isn’t required to live in the district she represents. But that hasn’t stopped her from citing other addresses in the past. US Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, a Republican, has changed her voter registration three… -
Opinion: Voters should send James, Bohannan to CongressDemocrat Lindsay James (left) and Republican Joe Mitchell are vying in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District. Voters in Iowa’s 1st and 2nd congressional districts will see new and familiar names on their ballots in this fall’s election. In… -
Photos: See 14 images of Christina Bohannan campaigning in southeast IowaThe Quad-City Times followed candidate Christina Bohannan around southeast Iowa on a Rural Restoration Project tour of five rural Iowa counties in September as she makes a third run for Congress. Democratic candidate for Iowa's 1st… -
Miller-Meeks’ voting record under review heading into midtermsThe state’s 1st Congressional District face-off between Republican incumbent US Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan is among the most closely watched House races. With Election Day now just a matter… -
Fundraising tight in Iowa’s competitive U.S. House racesDemocrat Christina Bohannan (left) speaks Oct. 21, 2024, during a debate with Republican U.S. Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks hosted by Iowa PBS in Johnston. The two are candidates again for the U.S. House seat in Iowa’s 1st Congressional… -
How to watch KWQC’s and KCRG’s debate between Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Christiana BohannanDAVENPORT, Iowa (KWQC/KCRG) - KCRG is partnering with KWQC to air a live debate between Iowa’s 1st Congressional District candidates Christina Bohannan and Mariannette Miller-Meeks. The debate starts at 7 p.m. on Tuesday, Oct. 20. The… -
Health care, housing, wages: Josh Turek outlines campaign goals at Davenport rallyDownload the KWQC News app to get your local news, sports and weather all in one place. Watch live newscasts, submit a news tip and get breaking news updates as soon as they happen. DAVENPORT, Iowa (KWQC) - Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek… -
Iowa Dem Josh Turek Rejects Immediate Deportation of Illegal Aliens, Incorrectly Links Reps. Miller-Meeks and Feenstra to Dignity ActObama-endorsed Iowa Democrat U.S. Senate nominee Josh Turek said illegal immigrants should not face immediate deportation during an exchange with NBC News anchor Tom Llamas, while inaccurately linking Republican Reps. Mariannette…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions