Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%
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AZ-06 House winner? (2026)
The odds
90%JoAnna Mendoza
- JoAnna Mendoza90%
- Juan Ciscomani11%
How the odds have moved
JoAnna Mendoza: 84% on Oct 20, 90% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JoAnna Mendoza | 90% | 89¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 36.7K | |
| Juan Ciscomani | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 19.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, JoAnna Mendoza, Juan Ciscomani
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JoAnna Mendoza spent 20 years in the Navy and Marines. Here’s how that’s informed her campaignIn the race for Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, JoAnna Mendoza makes the case that her dedication to fellow veterans sets her apart. JoAnna Mendoza spent 20 years in the US Navy and Marine Corps. Now, the Democrat is drawing from her… -
Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… -
Joanna Mendoza’s Pelosi Problem: Lobbyist Campaigns With Corrupt Democrat Party Boss In Closing DaysJoanna Mendoza's Pelosi Problem: Lobbyist Campaigns With Corrupt Democrat Party Boss In Closing Days National Republican Congressional Committee Text VICTORY to 21818 to help DEFEND our conservative majority! Joanna Mendoza’s Pelosi… -
Musk, Bloomberg PACs pour cash into Ciscomani-Mendoza raceElon Musk’s Political Action Committee spent over $85,000 on digital advertisements against JoAnna Mendoza in just over two weeks, new data from the Federal Election Commission shows. Since Oct. 1, Musk’s America PAC filed spending reports… -
MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. -
Cook Report: Democrats flip House, 237 seat majority(The Center Square) - With slightly more than a week until the 2026 midterm elections, political analysts are projecting Democrats will flip as many as 22 seats to gain control of the U.S. House of Representatives. The Cook Political… -
2026 midterm elections: 21 key House races to followKamau Marshall, consultant and chief strategist speaks with LiveNOW's Ryan Schmelz on how the Democrats are looking to take back control of Congress. Control of the U.S. House will be on the line in November, with Republicans defending… -
Photos: Look inside America's newest national parkPresident Donald Trump signed the “Chiricahua National Park Act” into law on Tuesday afternoon. Rep. Juan Ciscomani, Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum, and Mayor of Willcox Greg Hancock were joined by dozens of local park rangers for a… -
Hobbs, others rally Democratic supporters at CG eventArizona Gov. Katie Hobbs addresses a large crowd of Democratic supporters during Tuesday evening’s campaign rally at The Landmark Event Center in Casa Grande. Hobbs, who is seeking reelection in the Nov. 3 general election, spoke about her… -
Latino voters helped put Trump back in the White House. What’s their next move?Home News Highlights Elections Latino voters helped put Trump back in the White House. What’s their next move? The 28-year-old maintenance technician from Casa Grande, Arizona, voted for the Republican president expecting to get a thriving… -
A $30 million problem: Cochise jail costs put supervisors in a bindBudget increase: Supervisors will consider raising the jail project's budget ceiling from $130 million to $160 million, an increase of approximately 23%. Capacity at stake: A cheaper design would provide roughly 305 beds but sacrifice… - Bloomberg-Backed Everytown Super PAC Targets Competitive House RacesThe committee's Gun Sense Voter website identifies the effort as a project of Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund and Everytown for Gun Safety Victory Fund, working with Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America to support candidates…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions