Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
91%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party91%
- Republican Party10%
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AZ-01 House winner? (2026)
The odds
82%Amish Shah
- Amish Shah82%
- Jay Feely19%
How the odds have moved
Amish Shah: 81% on Oct 20, 82% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amish Shah | 82% | 81¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 47.1K | |
| Jay Feely | 19% | 18¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 126.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Amish Shah, Jay Feely
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Indian-Americans Amish Shah, Pia Dandiya favoured in key US House racesIndian-American candidates Amish Shah and Pia Dandiya have favourable prospects in their races for the US House of Representatives in Arizona and Florida, according to pre-election predictions reported by news agency Press Trust of India… - Arizona 1st District Election 2026: Amish Shah vs. Jay FeelyMLB Picks Tampa Bay Rays Cleveland Guardians NFL Picks College Football Picks Politics News Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers Republican candidate Jay Feely is a name that will be familiar to many NFL fans who spent 14 years as a…
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Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… -
Jay Feely, Arizona Republican House candidate and former NFL kicker, talks campaignCBS News Ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely on GOP House campaign An AI doom scenario that isn't well-known The data risks of personal AI agents Democrats to hold post-midterm summit Sources: Musk restricted Ukraine's satellite access Trump: U.S. has… -
Jay Feely has AI industry backing. Now a $750K campaign wants him outGuardrails Alliance is targeting the Republican nominee over his pro-data center platform and $600,000 in support from an AI industry super PAC. In one of Arizona’s most competitive House races, an AI accountability group is dropping… - How Trump is trying to save his longtime golf buddy in battleground ArizonaThe pro-Trump cavalry has arrived for Republican Jay Feely, who is in a tight House race against Democrat Amish Shah. GOP House candidate Jay Feely of Arizona speaks during the Republican National Convention in Dallas on Sept. 9, 2026. |…
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Socialist Amish Shah Imports Nancy Pelosi For Photo Op, Undermining His LiesNational Republican Congressional Committee Socialist Amish Shah brought corrupt Nancy Pelosi to Phoenix yesterday, blowing his cover and exposing him as a 100 percent Democrat Party rubber stamp. Why it matters: Socialist Shah spent… -
False ad distorts Amish Shah’s record on sex offendersThe Arizona legislator never voted to let child molesters into schools, despite Republican claims. Dr. Amish Shah did not vote to let convicted child molesters “back into our schools,” as a new attack ad falsely claims. The TV spot is… -
Two Indian-American candidates face key US midterm races as early voting beginsWashington, Oct 25 (PTI) Indian-American candidates Amish Shah and Pia Dandiya have favourable prospects in their respective races for the US House of Representatives in Arizona and Florida in the midterm elections, according to pre-poll… -
MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. -
US midterm elections 2026: Who are the Indian-origin candidates and where are they contesting?The elections will determine which party controls Congress for the final two years of US President Donald Trump’s second term. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats are scheduled to be contested, alongside… -
Ballots in the Balance: The Explosive Legal Battles Over Election SecurityAs legal battles intensify ahead of the midterms, federal efforts to challenge state voter rolls are sparking fierce debate over state sovereignty versus federal oversight. FOX News Sunday anchor Shannon Bream discusses the Democratic…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions