The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above $750
8%
$12.50
5.2K
Above $1,000
4%
$25.00
8.7K
Above $1,100
3%
$35.34
Above $1,200
3%
$35.34
Above $1,250
3%
$35.34
21.1K
Above $1,300
3%
$35.34
Above $1,400
3%
$35.34
Above $1,500
3%
$35.34
34.9K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Ethereum Delays Glamsterdam Testnet Fork Over Gas Security FlawsDecrypt · 41 h agoEthereum developers have postponed the planned activation of the network's Glamsterdam upgrade on its Hoodi test network after security firm ChainSecurity found problems with how the upgrade changes gas, the auditor said on Thursday. "It…
Ethereum delays Glamsterdam test after security devs flag risk to existing contracts@coindesk · 2 days agoEthereum developers have called off Monday's Glamsterdam upgrade on the Hoodi test network after security researchers identified a problem that could change how existing smart contracts handle failed transactions, potentially allowing…
Over $815M in crypto positions liquidated as Bitcoin, Ether prices dropCrypto Briefing · 2 h agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
ARB Touches Four-Week Low as Losses Outpace Bitcoin and EtherThe Defiant · 16 h agoThe Defiant ARB Touches Four-Week Low as Losses Outpace Bitcoin and Ether OP and POL also lost more than a quarter over matched four-week windows, while Arbitrum One's active-address count rose. Our articles are stored on Filecoin. Choose…
ETH news: Ethereum’s four-minute settlement plan could lower the cost of moving crypto@coindesk · 3 days agoEthereum researchers want to cut the wait for a transaction to become final from about 16 minutes to roughly four, a change that could make it cheaper to move money between blockchains. Its initial target is a four-fold improvement, though…
Two Ethereum Scam Schemes ExposedDEV Community · 18 h agoEvery number below comes from our own indexed swap, liquidity and holder data, cross-checked against the public GoPlus security API, as of 24 October 2026. How one launch plays out. LEMONBOB, 1 August 2026, is typical: The same script ran…
A $272 Million Ether Long Has a $2,181 Liquidation PriceTokenPost · 8 h agoA $9.21 million USDC margin deposit lowered the position’s liquidation level from $2,256. The holder also had a $124.4 million Bitcoin long. An unidentified whale or institution’s Ether (ETH) long had a liquidation price of $2,181 after a…
Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $137.9M as Ether Funds Gain $4.4MLive Bitcoin News · 12 h agoIBIT recorded net outflows of $110.3 million, the largest of any fund. Fidelity's FBTC followed with $31.8 million in redemptions. Together, the two funds shed $142.1 million, slightly more than the day's net total. Morgan Stanley's MSBT…
Ether Leads Five Crypto Markets With a 75.9% Long-Account ShareTokenPost · 15 h agoXRP was the only asset with negative funding, while open interest rose only in Solana. Long accounts outnumbered short accounts in all five markets. Ether (ETH) had the largest share of long accounts across five crypto markets at 75.9% in…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
