The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above $3,500
13%
$7.50
56.5K
Above $3,750
13%
$7.50
40.6K
Above $4,000
13%
$7.50
44.0K
Above $4,250
8%
$12.50
26.1K
Above $4,500
7%
$15.38
24.1K
Above $4,750
7%
$15.38
16.3K
Above $5,000
5%
$20.00
20.4K
Above $6,000
5%
$20.00
10.0K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Ethereum Delays Glamsterdam Testnet Fork Over Gas Security FlawsDecrypt · 37 h agoEthereum developers have postponed the planned activation of the network's Glamsterdam upgrade on its Hoodi test network after security firm ChainSecurity found problems with how the upgrade changes gas, the auditor said on Thursday. "It…
Ethereum delays Glamsterdam test after security devs flag risk to existing contracts@coindesk · 48 h agoEthereum developers have called off Monday's Glamsterdam upgrade on the Hoodi test network after security researchers identified a problem that could change how existing smart contracts handle failed transactions, potentially allowing…
ETH news: Ethereum’s four-minute settlement plan could lower the cost of moving crypto@coindesk · 3 days agoEthereum researchers want to cut the wait for a transaction to become final from about 16 minutes to roughly four, a change that could make it cheaper to move money between blockchains. Its initial target is a four-fold improvement, though…
Two Ethereum Scam Schemes ExposedDEV Community · 14 h agoEvery number below comes from our own indexed swap, liquidity and holder data, cross-checked against the public GoPlus security API, as of 24 October 2026. How one launch plays out. LEMONBOB, 1 August 2026, is typical: The same script ran…
Solana Alpenglow Goes Live in 'Most Ambitious' Upgrade Since Ethereum's MergeDecrypt · 3 days agoSolana's largest consensus upgrade since the network launched in 2020 went live on Wednesday, cutting the time it takes for a transaction to become irreversible from about 12.8 seconds to roughly 150 milliseconds, core engineering team…
Bitcoin Steadies at US$81,629 as Ether Edges Up | Crypto Wrap, Oct 23The Rio Times · 28 h agoBitcoin ended Friday, 23 October, at US$81,629, almost where it began the week. It rose 0.39% on the day after touching US$84,012 at Wednesday’s close. Ether gained 0.76% to US$2,404. US stocks fell, which has weighed on crypto in recent…
Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $137.9M as Ether Funds Gain $4.4MLive Bitcoin News · 7 h agoIBIT recorded net outflows of $110.3 million, the largest of any fund. Fidelity's FBTC followed with $31.8 million in redemptions. Together, the two funds shed $142.1 million, slightly more than the day's net total. Morgan Stanley's MSBT…
Ethereum postpones Glamsterdam testnet activation on HoodiInsideBitcoins.com · 33 h agoEthereum has postponed the Glamsterdam upgrade on the Hoodi testnet, pulling a planned 200 million gas-limit test scheduled for October 26 off the calendar. Core developers agreed at ACDE #248, their regular execution-layer call on October…
Monero Tops $645 as Ether Slumps to 3.67 XMRThe Currency analytics · 2 days agoOne ether buys a lot less monero than it used to. On Oct. 22, 2026, the rate sat at roughly 3.67 XMR per ETH — a sharp drop from nearly 13 XMR a year earlier. Markets move, but that kind of shift in a cross-rate is hard to ignore. The move…
Ethereum Price Prediction: Where Could ETH Be by the End of October?24/7 Wall St. · 12 h agoEthereum has shed 12% this October while ETF outflows mount and its next major upgrade sits in limbo. Whether ETH can stage a comeback before month-end depends on a few critical price levels holding or breaking. It sounds nuts, but SoFi is…
Arthur Hayes Warns HYPE Price Could Underperform Ethereum and ZcashThe Market Periodical · 14 h agoHYPE price remained under pressure on October 24 as BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes questioned Hyperliquid’s investment prospects. Hayes argued that Ethereum (ETH) and Zcash (ZEC) could deliver stronger returns despite Hyperliquid’s…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.