CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.21%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.21%Middle half 0.13% – 0.3%
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Western US CPI (Dec 2026)
The odds
356.3median
332365
Median 356.3Middle half 352.1 – 358.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 356.3 on Oct 20, 356.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 333 | 96% | $1.04 | 40.00 | |||
| Above 334 | 96% | $1.04 | 80.00 | |||
| Above 335 | 96% | $1.04 | 130 | |||
| Above 336 | 96% | $1.04 | 210 | |||
| Above 337 | 96% | $1.04 | 200 | |||
| Above 338 | 96% | $1.04 | 210 | |||
| Above 339 | 96% | $1.04 | 190 | |||
| Above 340 | 96% | $1.04 | 220 | |||
| Above 341 | 96% | $1.04 | 220 | |||
| Above 342 | 96% | $1.04 | 220 | |||
| Above 343 | 96% | $1.04 | 230 | |||
| Above 344 | 96% | $1.04 | 260 | |||
| Above 345 | 96% | $1.04 | 280 | |||
| Above 346 | 96% | $1.04 | 300 | |||
| Above 347 | 96% | $1.04 | 330 | |||
| Above 348 | 96% | $1.04 | 320 | |||
| Above 349 | 96% | $1.04 | 340 | |||
| Above 350 | 94% | $1.06 | 180 | |||
| Above 351 | 90% | $1.11 | 200 | |||
| Above 352 | 76% | $1.32 | 130 | |||
| Above 353 | 69% | $1.45 | 130 | |||
| Above 354 | 66% | $1.52 | 140 | |||
| Above 355 | 63% | $1.59 | 150 | |||
| Above 356 | 56% | $1.79 | 130 | |||
| Above 357 | 37% | $2.70 | 50.00 | |||
| Above 358 | 29% | $3.45 | 20.00 | |||
| Above 359 | 5% | $18.52 | ||||
| Above 360 | 5% | $18.52 | ||||
| Above 361 | 5% | $18.52 | 10.00 | |||
| Above 362 | 5% | $18.52 | 60.00 | |||
| Above 363 | 5% | $18.52 | 40.00 | |||
| Above 364 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices
Search ›-
Review of the US CPI (Consumer Price Index)These are the main results and key points of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2026, released by the US Department of Labor on October 14, 2026. Surge in energy prices boosts the overall index Gasoline prices rose… -
No Diesel Relief Until 2027, Consumer Prices Spike, Says IEA ReportGlobal diesel supply is expected to stay tight well into next year, and consumer prices have already climbed thanks to record fuel costs at the pump, according to a recently published report by the International Energy Agency. “Constrained… - Consumer Price Growth Accelerates as Core Inflation Picks UpOur work is centered around four values that make our industry strong and America exceptional: free enterprise, competitiveness, individual liberty and equal opportunity. The men and women of the NAM’s Board of Directors are committed to…
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E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmeticsCNBC CFO Council member Mandy Fields has helped lead E.l.f. Beauty through massive growth in recent years. The cosmetics and skincare company has evolved from a small budget-friendly makeup brand focused on cruelty-free products into a… -
The Fed’s Beige Book is Mentioning Diesel a Lot More Than Before. What That Could Mean for Consumer Prices.Americans watching gasoline prices for signs of inflation may be underestimating the cost of the diesel used to fuel broader parts of the economy, including the transport of merchandise, operation of farm equipment, and delivery of… -
Hassett Says CPI Data Shows Inflation Needs ‘Some Work’(Bloomberg) -- White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said prices have been falling for items such as beef and eggs, though consumer price data for September shows overall inflation continues to need policy attention… -
Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP): September 2026We may place these for analysis of our visitor data, to improve our website, show personalized content and to give you a great website experience. For more information about the cookies click on the Adjust button. Annual Rate of Change… -
Canada CPI expected to show a pick-up in inflation in SeptemberCanada’s September Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures will be the focus of attention on Monday. Indeed, Statistics Canada data will provide markets with an update on price pressures ahead of the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) October 28 gathering… - Consumer prices rise for KS & MOPosted October 16, 2026 10:06am by Brian Hagen (MSC News)--Consumer prices in the Midwest rose 0.9% in September, with energy prices posting the largest increase. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics says the regional Consumer Price Index…
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Sullivan, Peltola clash over Iran, consumer prices in televised debate in Alaska US Senate raceANCHORAGE, Alaska — Alaska's major U.S. Senate candidates kicked off a televised debate Thursday in the high-stakes contest by clashing over the Iran war and trading sharp digs on issues from consumer prices to oil policy. Two-term… -
Consumer prices see biggest jump since December 2022WASHINGTON -- Wholesale inflation rose more than expected last month on a big jump in fuel costs as rising prices become a bigger economic challenge for millions of Americans and a growing political problem for Republicans in the upcoming… -
Dan Sullivan And Mary Peltola Clash Over Iran War And Consumer Prices In Alaska Senate DebatePublished 16 Oct 2026, 12:42 UTC Sullivan and Peltola debated Iran conflict and rising fuel prices in Alaska. They argued about Alaska's energy future and affordability. U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola faced…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.