The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 330
97%
$1.03
20.00
Above 332
92%
$1.08
40.00
Above 334
92%
$1.08
100
Above 336
92%
$1.08
120
Above 338
92%
$1.08
120
Above 340
92%
$1.08
140
Above 342
92%
$1.08
170
Above 344
92%
$1.08
190
Above 346
92%
$1.08
240
Above 348
92%
$1.08
240
Above 350
92%
$1.08
245
Above 352
92%
$1.08
210
Above 354
89%
$1.12
80.00
Above 356
57%
$1.75
30.00
Above 358
<1%
Above 360
<1%
Above 362
<1%
Above 364
<1%
Above 366
<1%
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
BREAKING NEWS: Japan's core consumer prices in Sept. rise 2.1% on yearJapan Wire by Kyodo News · 41 h agoRead full story here Japan agency cancels mistakenly issued M9.9 quake alert, transit disrupted Weather agency confirms year's 30th typhoon, 1st since 2013 Vulnerabilities found in widely used PHP programming language Newcomer Harasawa…
Brazil consumer prices rise 0.32% in mid-OctoberStevens Point · 29 h agoSAO PAULO, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Brazil's IPCA-15 consumer price index rose 0.32% in the month to mid-October, down from 0.70% in the previous month, government statistics agency IBGE said on Friday. The index had been expected to…
BREAKING NEWS: Japan's core consumer prices rise 2.0% or more for 1st time since Dec. 2025Japan Wire by Kyodo News · 41 h agoRead full story here Japan agency cancels mistakenly issued M9.9 quake alert, transit disrupted Weather agency confirms year's 30th typhoon, 1st since 2013 Vulnerabilities found in widely used PHP programming language Newcomer Harasawa…
Morocco’s consumer prices rise in September, driven by food and fuel@yabiladi_fr · 42 h agoMorocco’s consumer price index rose 1% in September 2026 compared with August, driven by a 1.6% increase in food prices and a 0.4% rise in non-food prices, according to the High Commission for Planning (HCP). Meat and vegetable prices each…
Morocco Consumer Prices Rise 1.0% in September 2026@indexbox · 2 days agoMorocco's consumer price index increased 1.0% in September 2026 compared with the previous month, according to the High Commission for Planning. The agency reported that the monthly gain reflected a 1.6% rise in the food index and a 0.4%…
Food inflation steady as fuel costs drive rise in consumer pricesThe Grocer · 3 days agoFood price inflation has remained mild for several months as supermarkets compete for market share Inflation rose above market estimates to reach 3.5% in September, as fuel and transport costs surged two points to 6.6%. However, food price…
UK Consumer Price Inflation: September 2026 Release from the ONS@indexbox · 3 days agoUK Consumer Price Inflation, September 2026: ONS Release - News and Statistics IndexBox The Office for National Statistics has published its consumer price inflation release for the United Kingdom covering September 2026, according to the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.