CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.22%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.22%Middle half 0.12% – 0.29%
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Detroit CPI (Dec 2026)
The odds
310.6median
278322
Median 310.6Middle half 307.7 – 312.5
How the odds have moved
Median: 310.6 on Oct 20, 310.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 280 | 87% | $1.15 | ||||
| Above 282 | 87% | $1.15 | 160 | |||
| Above 284 | 87% | $1.15 | 170 | |||
| Above 286 | 87% | $1.15 | 210 | |||
| Above 288 | 87% | $1.15 | 250 | |||
| Above 290 | 87% | $1.15 | 270 | |||
| Above 292 | 87% | $1.15 | 250 | |||
| Above 294 | 87% | $1.15 | 290 | |||
| Above 296 | 87% | $1.15 | 280 | |||
| Above 298 | 87% | $1.15 | 300 | |||
| Above 300 | 87% | $1.15 | 280 | |||
| Above 302 | 87% | $1.15 | 290 | |||
| Above 304 | 87% | $1.15 | 310 | |||
| Above 306 | 85% | $1.18 | 200 | |||
| Above 308 | 73% | $1.37 | 120 | |||
| Above 310 | 57% | $1.75 | 120 | |||
| Above 312 | 34% | $2.94 | 40.00 | |||
| Above 314 | <1% | |||||
| Above 316 | <1% | |||||
| Above 318 | <1% | |||||
| Above 320 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices
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Food inflation steady as fuel costs drive rise in consumer pricesFood price inflation has remained mild for several months as supermarkets compete for market share Inflation rose above market estimates to reach 3.5% in September, as fuel and transport costs surged two points to 6.6%. However, food price… - Consumer price inflation, UK: September 2026Forex Factory Consumer price inflation, UK: September 2026
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Sri Lanka's consumer prices rise 8.1% year-on-year in SeptemberTradingView Sri Lanka's consumer prices rise 8.1% year-on-year in September -
No Diesel Relief Until 2027, Consumer Prices Spike, Says IEA ReportGlobal diesel supply is expected to stay tight well into next year, and consumer prices have already climbed thanks to record fuel costs at the pump, according to a recently published report by the International Energy Agency. “Constrained… -
7 simple inflation hacks to save money every monthInflation rose in September, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' latest Consumer Price Index (CPI), released on Oct. 14. Consumer prices rose 3.7% over the 12 months through September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, up from 3.4%… - Consumer Price Growth Accelerates as Core Inflation Picks UpOur work is centered around four values that make our industry strong and America exceptional: free enterprise, competitiveness, individual liberty and equal opportunity. The men and women of the NAM’s Board of Directors are committed to…
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Faisal Islam: Inflation and borrowing figures illustrate chancellor's Budget challengeThe Chancellor was on a early flight to North East Scotland on Wednesday to announce new North Sea energy approvals as the last set of major economic figures dropped. From a mile high, as well as close up, the figures for inflation and for… -
UK inflation rise to highest in almost a year as Iran war drives fuel prices higherThe Washington Post Inflation in the U.K. has risen to its highest rate in almost a year as the Iran war continues to drive up fuel prices LONDON — Inflation in the U.K. rose to its highest rate in almost a year as the Iran war continues… - Decades of methodological CPI tweaks mask true inflation - Barry RitholtzTradingView Decades of methodological CPI tweaks mask true inflation - Barry Ritholtz American governments have engaged in a “disgraceful” post-World War II campaign of technical revisions, methodological tweaks and policy shifts…
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Review of the US CPI (Consumer Price Index)These are the main results and key points of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2026, released by the US Department of Labor on October 14, 2026. Surge in energy prices boosts the overall index Gasoline prices rose… -
New Zealand Dollar trims gains near 0.5700 after softer CPI inflation dataThe NZD/USD pair steadies near 0.5705 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pares gains against the US Dollar (USD) following softer-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data. The… -
New Zealand's CPI inflation eases to 3.7% YoY in Q3, vs 3.8% expectedNew Zealand's third-quarter Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in a tenth under forecast on both the quarterly and the annual measure, and it took the Kiwi off its four-week high. NZD/USD fell from just above 0.5700 to just under it on the…
Related markets
All inflation ›October Inflation China - Annual
0.91%median
0.5%1.4%
Median 0.91%Middle half 0.75% – 0.96%
Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.19%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.19%Middle half 0.12% – 0.27%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
3.41%median
-0.5%6.5%
Median 3.41%Middle half 2.5% – 3.89%
How high will inflation get in 2026?
16%Above 4.5%
4%12%
Core CPI in December (Dec 2026)
0.18%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.18%Middle half 0.11% – 0.27%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 9 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.