CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.22%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.22%Middle half 0.13% – 0.29%
Install
Chicago CPI (Dec 2026)
The odds
311.6median
294319
Median 311.6Middle half 310.4 – 312.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 311.6 on Oct 20, 311.6 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 295 | 96% | $1.04 | 80.00 | |||
| Above 296 | 96% | $1.04 | 110 | |||
| Above 297 | 96% | $1.04 | 210 | |||
| Above 298 | 96% | $1.04 | 240 | |||
| Above 299 | 96% | $1.04 | 270 | |||
| Above 300 | 95% | $1.05 | 270 | |||
| Above 301 | 95% | $1.05 | 230 | |||
| Above 302 | 95% | $1.05 | 260 | |||
| Above 303 | 95% | $1.05 | 270 | |||
| Above 304 | 95% | $1.05 | 260 | |||
| Above 305 | 95% | $1.05 | 230 | |||
| Above 306 | 92% | $1.09 | 220 | |||
| Above 307 | 89% | $1.12 | 190 | |||
| Above 308 | 84% | $1.19 | 180 | |||
| Above 309 | 84% | $1.19 | 140 | |||
| Above 310 | 81% | $1.23 | 170 | |||
| Above 311 | 64% | $1.56 | 110 | |||
| Above 312 | 41% | $2.44 | 20.00 | |||
| Above 313 | 20% | $5.13 | ||||
| Above 314 | 20% | $5.13 | 30.00 | |||
| Above 315 | 13% | $7.50 | ||||
| Above 316 | 13% | $7.50 | 10.00 | |||
| Above 317 | 13% | $7.50 | 40.00 | |||
| Above 318 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices
Search ›-
No Diesel Relief Until 2027, Consumer Prices Spike, Says IEA ReportGlobal diesel supply is expected to stay tight well into next year, and consumer prices have already climbed thanks to record fuel costs at the pump, according to a recently published report by the International Energy Agency. “Constrained… - Consumer Price Growth Accelerates as Core Inflation Picks UpOur work is centered around four values that make our industry strong and America exceptional: free enterprise, competitiveness, individual liberty and equal opportunity. The men and women of the NAM’s Board of Directors are committed to…
-
Review of the US CPI (Consumer Price Index)These are the main results and key points of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2026, released by the US Department of Labor on October 14, 2026. Surge in energy prices boosts the overall index Gasoline prices rose… -
The Fed’s Beige Book is Mentioning Diesel a Lot More Than Before. What That Could Mean for Consumer Prices.Americans watching gasoline prices for signs of inflation may be underestimating the cost of the diesel used to fuel broader parts of the economy, including the transport of merchandise, operation of farm equipment, and delivery of… -
UK inflation rises by more than expected to 3.5% as war drives up fuel pricesIncrease in annual price growth in September comes amid fears rate will breach 4% next year UK inflation climbed by more than expected in September to 3.5% after a surge in prices from the conflict in the Middle East that has pushed up the… -
British Pound edges lower below 1.3400 ahead of UK CPI inflation releaseThe GBP/USD pair declines to around 1.3375 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, a stronger-than-expected UK labor report might cap the downside for the major pair. Traders will take more cues from the UK September… -
Hassett Says CPI Data Shows Inflation Needs ‘Some Work’(Bloomberg) -- White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said prices have been falling for items such as beef and eggs, though consumer price data for September shows overall inflation continues to need policy attention… -
E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmeticsCNBC CFO Council member Mandy Fields has helped lead E.l.f. Beauty through massive growth in recent years. The cosmetics and skincare company has evolved from a small budget-friendly makeup brand focused on cruelty-free products into a… -
Canada CPI expected to show a pick-up in inflation in SeptemberCanada’s September Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures will be the focus of attention on Monday. Indeed, Statistics Canada data will provide markets with an update on price pressures ahead of the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) October 28 gathering… -
[Today’s Key Economic and Crypto Events] U.K. September CPI, U.S. Crude Inventoriesbloomingbit [Today’s Key Economic and Crypto Events] U.K. September CPI, U.S. Crude Inventories - The U.K. September consumer price index (CPI) release is scheduled for Wednesday, Oct. 21. - The U.S. crude oil inventories report is also… -
BitGo Research Finds Bitcoin’s CPI Reaction StrengthensCryptonews.net BitGo Research Finds Bitcoin’s CPI Reaction Strengthens Bitcoin is under scrutiny as new insights from BitGo Research reveal its reaction to Consumer Price Index (CPI) surprises has become notably stronger since 2020. This… -
UK inflation jumps to 3.5% — cementing rate hike expectationsU.K. inflation rose by a hotter-than-expected 3.5% in the 12 months to September, driven by the surging cost of motor fuels. Economists polled by Reuters had been forecasting an annual inflation rate of 3.4%. September's print marked a…
Related markets
All inflation ›October Inflation China - Annual
0.91%median
0.5%1.4%
Median 0.91%Middle half 0.74% – 0.97%
CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)
3.79%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.79%Middle half 3.66% – 4.05%
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.55%median
0.6%4.9%
Median 3.55%Middle half 3.16% – 3.76%
CPI YoY in December (Dec 2026)
3.85%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.85%Middle half 3.62% – 4.25%
Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.19%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.19%Middle half 0.12% – 0.27%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.