Core PCE MoM - September 2026
0.31%median
-0.15%0.55%
Median 0.31%Middle half 0.27% – 0.35%
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Atlanta CPI (Dec 2026)
The odds
329.1median
292342
Median 329.1Middle half 326.8 – 332.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 329.0 on Oct 20, 329.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 294 | 89% | $1.12 | ||||
| Above 296 | 89% | $1.12 | 240 | |||
| Above 298 | 89% | $1.12 | 270 | |||
| Above 300 | 89% | $1.12 | 230 | |||
| Above 302 | 89% | $1.12 | 260 | |||
| Above 304 | 89% | $1.12 | 270 | |||
| Above 306 | 89% | $1.12 | 320 | |||
| Above 308 | 89% | $1.12 | 300 | |||
| Above 310 | 89% | $1.12 | 410 | |||
| Above 312 | 89% | $1.12 | 340 | |||
| Above 314 | 89% | $1.12 | 330 | |||
| Above 316 | 89% | $1.12 | 340 | |||
| Above 318 | 89% | $1.12 | 360 | |||
| Above 320 | 89% | $1.12 | 380 | |||
| Above 322 | 89% | $1.12 | 350 | |||
| Above 324 | 89% | $1.12 | 270 | |||
| Above 326 | 82% | $1.22 | 200 | |||
| Above 328 | 64% | $1.56 | 100 | |||
| Above 330 | 39% | $2.56 | 50.00 | |||
| Above 332 | 35% | $2.86 | 10.00 | |||
| Above 334 | <1% | |||||
| Above 336 | <1% | |||||
| Above 338 | <1% | |||||
| Above 340 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices
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BREAKING NEWS: Japan's core consumer prices in Sept. rise 2.1% on yearRead full story here Japan agency cancels mistakenly issued M9.9 quake alert, transit disrupted Weather agency confirms year's 30th typhoon, 1st since 2013 Vulnerabilities found in widely used PHP programming language Newcomer Harasawa… - BREAKING NEWS: Japan's core consumer prices rise 2.0% or more for 1st time since Dec. 2025Read full story here Japan agency cancels mistakenly issued M9.9 quake alert, transit disrupted Weather agency confirms year's 30th typhoon, 1st since 2013 Vulnerabilities found in widely used PHP programming language Newcomer Harasawa…
- Brazil consumer prices rise 0.32% in mid-OctoberSAO PAULO, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Brazil's IPCA-15 consumer price index rose 0.32% in the month to mid-October, down from 0.70% in the previous month, government statistics agency IBGE said on Friday. The index had been expected to rise 0.43%…
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Producer prices are up 6.3%. Consumer prices only 3.7%. This chart shows who eats the gap | FXStreetشبكة تواصل الإخبارية The Producer Price Index rose 6.3% in the year to September and the Consumer Price Index 3.7%, the widest gap since 2022. Inside the S&P 500, energy and technology companies collect the difference, the rest pay it, and… -
Food inflation steady as fuel costs drive rise in consumer pricesFood price inflation has remained mild for several months as supermarkets compete for market share Inflation rose above market estimates to reach 3.5% in September, as fuel and transport costs surged two points to 6.6%. However, food price… - Consumer price inflation, UK: September 2026Forex Factory Consumer price inflation, UK: September 2026
- UK Consumer Price Inflation: September 2026 Release from the ONSUK Consumer Price Inflation, September 2026: ONS Release - News and Statistics IndexBox The Office for National Statistics has published its consumer price inflation release for the United Kingdom covering September 2026, according to the…
- Morocco Consumer Prices Rise 1.0% in September 2026Morocco's consumer price index increased 1.0% in September 2026 compared with the previous month, according to the High Commission for Planning. The agency reported that the monthly gain reflected a 1.6% rise in the food index and a 0.4%…
- Morocco’s consumer prices rise in September, driven by food and fuelMorocco’s consumer price index rose 1% in September 2026 compared with August, driven by a 1.6% increase in food prices and a 0.4% rise in non-food prices, according to the High Commission for Planning (HCP). Meat and vegetable prices each…
- Japan National Consumer Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 1.9% to 2.1% in SeptemberUSD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose…
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Sri Lanka's consumer prices rise 8.1% year-on-year in SeptemberTradingView Sri Lanka's consumer prices rise 8.1% year-on-year in September
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All inflation ›US economic state at the end of 2026?
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- Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)1%
1 more
- Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)1%▼ 1
Argentina Monthly Inflation - October
1.77%median
1%3.3%
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CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.24%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.24%Middle half 0.16% – 0.29%
October Inflation China - Annual
0.78%median
0.5%1.4%
Median 0.78%Middle half 0.72% – 0.94%
How high will inflation get in 2026?
14%Above 4.5%
4%12%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.