Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions (Dec 2026)
44%Above 35,000
34,50045,500
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Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions (Dec 2027)
The odds
36%Above 36,000
35,50045,500
How the odds have moved
Above 36,000: 36% on Oct 20, 36% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 36,000 | 36% | $2.75 | ||||
| Above 36,500 | 36% | $2.75 | ||||
| Above 37,000 | 36% | $2.75 | 40.00 | |||
| Above 37,500 | 36% | $2.75 | 90.00 | |||
| Above 38,000 | 36% | $2.75 | 130 | |||
| Above 38,500 | 32% | $3.13 | 470 | |||
| Above 39,000 | 31% | $3.23 | 620 | |||
| Above 39,500 | 31% | $3.23 | 520 | |||
| Above 40,000 | 31% | $3.23 | 410 | |||
| Above 40,500 | 31% | $3.23 | 490 | |||
| Above 41,000 | 31% | $3.23 | 840 | |||
| Above 42,000 | 31% | $3.23 | 480 | |||
| Above 43,000 | 29% | $3.45 | 50.00 | |||
| Above 43,500 | 21% | $4.76 | ||||
| Above 44,000 | 12% | $8.33 | ||||
| Above 44,500 | <1% | |||||
| Above 45,000 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions
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Fuel from landfill waste can bring down carbon emissions in the cement industryUsing refuse-derived fuel (RDF) to produce cement could help reduce the carbon footprint of the industry, which relies heavily on fossil fuels. Cement manufacturing accounts for an estimated 8% of global carbon dioxide emissions, largely… -
Adelaide University researchers examine waste-derived fuels for cement manufacturingWaste-derived fuels could help reduce fossil fuel use in cement manufacturing while diverting suitable waste from landfill, according to a review of international research by Adelaide University researchers. PhD candidate Geethmi Thisakya… -
Holcim, 44.01 Launch Project to Capture and Mineralize CO2 From Cement ProductionEmanuela Hawker December 12, 2025 Building materials company Holcim and carbon sequestration technology company 44.01 announced the launch of a new pilot project in the UAE, aimed at capturing, permanently storing, and mineralizing CO2… -
Why is Shell facing lawsuits over climate disasters in Brazil and the Philippines?Shell's Brazil subsidiary was sued by independent federal prosecutors and an NGO over its alleged responsbility for devastating 2024 floods in Brazil Le quartier de Sarandi, l'un des plus touchés par les inondations ayant frappé Porto… -
Nordic Innovation in Sustainable Infrastructure, Clean TechnologyNordic Day experts explore how Mexico can accelerate decarbonization through energy efficiency, sustainable aviation fuels, and grid modernization. Join our expert contributor program During a panel discussion at Nordic Day in Mexico City… -
Technion develops breakthrough method to produce green hydrogen and epoxideTechnion researchers have developed a membrane-free method to produce green hydrogen and the industrial chemical epoxide with 98% efficiency, potentially reducing production costs and enabling large-scale industrial use Researchers at the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.