Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
91%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party91%
- Republican Party9%
Install
VA-01 General Election: Democratic Party? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
60%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 52% on Oct 20, 60% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on ForecastEx. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 6 PM ET52% → 60%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | $1.67 | 818 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- General
Search ›-
Va. General Assembly calls off Oct. 26 special session to elect judgesAn Oct. 26 special session to elect judges to the Court of Appeals of Virginia has been called off because of scheduling conflicts, scrapping lawmakers’ return to Richmond. The session was expected to last at least three days, which Senate… -
Crane Introduces Bipartisan Bill To Improve Housing Access For Tribal VeteransThis week, Arizona Rep. Eli Crane and Kansas Rep. Sharice Davids introduced the bipartisan Tribal Veterans Voucher Flexibility Act to improve how unused housing vouchers are managed and distributed through the Tribal HUD-VASH program. The…
Related markets
All house ›MN-05 House winner?
95%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar95%▼ 1
- John Nagel5%▲ 1
- DeVelle Jackson1%
NC-01 House winner? (2026)
82%Don Davis
- Don Davis82%▲ 3
- Laurie Buckhout19%▼ 2
TX-23 House winner?
62%Brandon Herrera
- Brandon Herrera62%
- Katy Padilla Stout39%
MI-07 House winner? (2026)
73%William Lawrence
- William Lawrence73%▼ 2
- Tom Barrett27%▲ 1
SC-01 House Election Winner
59%Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R)
- Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R)59%▼ 6
- Nancy Lacore (D)41%▲ 6
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.