US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
3.32%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 3.32%Middle half 2.76% – 3.89%
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Total Freight Traffic from Intermodal Traffic (Dec 2026)
The odds
1.17Mmedian
875,0001.55M
Median 1.17M
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.17M on Oct 20, 1.17M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 900,000 | 74% | $1.35 | ||||
| Above 925,000 | 74% | $1.35 | 30.00 | |||
| Above 950,000 | 74% | $1.35 | 30.00 | |||
| Above 975,000 | 74% | $1.35 | 50.00 | |||
| Above 1,000,000 | 74% | $1.35 | 40.00 | |||
| Above 1,050,000 | 74% | $1.35 | 730 | |||
| Above 1,100,000 | 74% | $1.35 | 680 | |||
| Above 1,150,000 | 59% | $1.69 | 520 | |||
| Above 1,200,000 | 36% | $2.78 | 350 | |||
| Above 1,250,000 | 7% | $14.29 | 60.00 | |||
| Above 1,300,000 | <1% | |||||
| Above 1,350,000 | <1% | |||||
| Above 1,400,000 | <1% | |||||
| Above 1,450,000 | <1% | |||||
| Above 1,500,000 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Total Freight Traffic, Intermodal Traffic
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.