Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
92%chance▲ 3
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Nasdaq 100 Futures Price (Oct 19, 2026)
The odds
29%Above 27,500
Nasdaq 100 now 29,529.34 +1.17% 27,40030,600
Above today's price 29%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 27,500 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 27,600 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 27,700 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 27,800 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 27,900 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 28,000 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 28,100 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 28,200 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 28,300 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 28,400 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 28,500 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 28,600 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 28,700 | 29% | $3.41 | 1.00 | |||
| Above 28,800 | 29% | $3.41 | 26.00 | |||
| Above 28,900 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 29,000 | 29% | $3.41 | 5.00 | |||
| Above 29,100 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 29,200 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 29,300 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 29,400 | 29% | $3.41 | ||||
| Above 29,500 | 29% | $3.41 | 101 | |||
| Above 29,600 | 29% | $3.41 | 238 | |||
| Above 29,700 | 29% | $3.41 | 201 | |||
| Above 29,800 | 29% | $3.41 | 1.4K | |||
| Above 29,900 | 29% | $3.41 | 3.6K | |||
| Above 30,000 | 29% | $3.41 | 3.6K | |||
| Above 30,100 | 25% | $4.00 | ||||
| Above 30,200 | 25% | $4.00 | 114 | |||
| Above 30,300 | <1% | |||||
| Above 30,400 | <1% | |||||
| Above 30,500 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nasdaq, tech stocks, Nasdaq Futures
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Nasdaq futures gain as investors buy the dip in the AI trade: Live updatesStock futures rebounded on Sunday night as traders cautiously dipped a toe back in following last week's rout in shares linked to the artificial intelligence trend. Stable oil prices early Sunday also lent the equity market some support… -
US tech stocks rise as Nasdaq gains 290 points; West Texas crude tops $103The Jordan News Agency وكالة الانباء الاردنية US tech stocks rise as Nasdaq gains 290 points; West Texas crude tops $103 New York, Oct. 19 (Petra) -- The U.S. Nasdaq Composite index rose 290 points, or 1.11 percent, on Monday to reach… -
Why Are Nasdaq Futures Soaring Premarket? NBIS, MU, TSLA, SPCX, ASTS, SLS Stocks In FocusU.S. stock futures were higher early Monday, recovering from last week's Wall Street selloff. Investors will look to the earnings rush, with nearly 15% of S&P 500 companies reporting in the week ahead, including SpaceX, Tesla, and Meta… -
Nasdaq Today LIVE: Nasdaq Futures Jump 0.99% as Nvidia, Broadcom & AI Stocks Rebound, Oil Prices Fall and Treasury Yields Ease; Check What Investors Should WatchNasdaq Today LIVE: Nasdaq futures climbed on Monday, October 19, as artificial intelligence (AI)-related stocks rebounded following last week’s sharp sell-off. Easing crude oil prices and declining US Treasury yields supported sentiment… -
AI Bubble Fears Trigger Record Hedge Fund Exit From Tech Stocks; Semiconductors Hit HardestGlobal hedge funds, doubting the durability of the AI investment boom, slashed their technology stock positions over the five trading days through Oct. 15 by the largest margin since records began in 2016. Semiconductors took the biggest… -
Tech stocks rebound as earnings test AI trade outlookTraders Union Tech stocks rebound as earnings test AI trade outlook U.S. equity markets start the week with a sharp technology-led rebound after last week's sell-off raised doubts about how long the artificial intelligence rally can… -
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Nasdaq Futures Jump Over 1% as AI Stocks Rebound Ahead of Tesla and Meta EarningsNasdaq futures gained approximately 1.3% in early Monday trading, while S&P 500 futures advanced around 0.8%. Lower crude prices and falling Treasury yields helped support the recovery. The move signals renewed appetite for technology…
Related markets
All indexes ›S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 19?
$767.50median
$745$805
Median $767.50Middle half $766.25 – $768.75
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
$773.94high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $773.94 and as low as $757.93.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $77537%
- Falls to $76589%
- Falls to $76060%
Already reached: ↑ $765
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$778.45high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $778.45 and as low as $752.87.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $78041%
- Falls to $76075%
- Falls to $75040%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
70%S&P 500
- S&P 50070%▲ 1
- Bitcoin17%▼ 1
- Gold5%▼ 1
S&P 500 Futures Price (Oct 19, 2026)
30%Above 7,225
7,2008,075
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.