S&P 500 Futures Price (Dec 31, 2026)
7,960median
2,6009,050
Median 7,960Middle half 7,627 – 8,352
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S&P 500 Futures Price (Oct 20, 2026)
The odds
27%Above 7,325
S&P 500 now 7,712.57 +0.28% 7,3007,975
Above today's price 27%
How the odds have moved
Above 7,325: 27% on Oct 21, 27% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7,325 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,350 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,375 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,400 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,425 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,450 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,475 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,500 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,525 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,550 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,575 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,600 | 27% | $3.70 | ||||
| Above 7,625 | 27% | $3.70 | 20.00 | |||
| Above 7,650 | 27% | $3.70 | 210 | |||
| Above 7,675 | 27% | $3.70 | 2.2K | |||
| Above 7,700 | 27% | $3.70 | 100 | |||
| Above 7,725 | 27% | $3.70 | 1.1K | |||
| Above 7,750 | 27% | $3.70 | 2.0K | |||
| Above 7,775 | 18% | $5.71 | 3.1K | |||
| Above 7,800 | 18% | $5.71 | 3.0K | |||
| Above 7,825 | 6% | $16.67 | 343 | |||
| Above 7,850 | <1% | |||||
| Above 7,875 | <1% | |||||
| Above 7,900 | <1% | |||||
| Above 7,925 | <1% | |||||
| Above 7,950 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: S&P 500, stocks, S&P Futures
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Investors look to earnings to reset the bull market. The key level to watch on the S&P 500In a previous life, when I routinely shut down New York City bars, the end of Daylight Saving Time was an annual bonus, as 2am on a Saturday night instantly became 1am, leaving three more hours until closing time. The financial markets now… -
S&P 500 Index: Chip Stocks Slide Again as the Dow Leads Earnings RotationTuesday’s market has a different feel from Monday’s rebound. The Dow is doing the lifting. The Nasdaq is barely holding a gain, and the chip group is back under pressure. Micron, Sandisk, Seagate, Intel and AMD are all lower. CoreWeave is… -
S&P 500 Slips as 71% of Stocks Rise in Broad RotationNew York, October 20, 2026, 09:50 (EDT) The S&P 500 slipped 0.15% to 7,679.22 shortly before 9:50 a.m. EDT. Yet 357 of its 503 securities were higher at 9:34. The mismatch exposed a rotation, not a broad retreat. The Nasdaq Composite fell… -
The S&P 500 Is Up More Than 10% This Year: But Nearly 40% of S&P 500 Stocks Are Down 20% From Their Highs.inkl The S&P 500 Is Up More Than 10% This Year: But Nearly 40% of S&P 500 Stocks Are Down 20% From Their Highs. MarketWatch's report puts nearly four in 10 of the benchmark's constituent stocks in what investors commonly describe as… -
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF $SPLV Stake Boosted by Ballast Inc.Ballast Inc. grew its stake in shares of Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF (NYSEARCA:SPLV – Free Report) by 8.5% in the 3rd quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund owned… -
Top 10 S&P 500 stocks account for 40 percent of market cap, Ben Carlson notesBen Carlson notes the top 10 S&P 500 stocks now comprise 40% of its market cap, up from 20-25% over much of the past 50 years. Top 10 S&P 500 stocks account for 40 percent of market cap, Ben Carlson notes The top 10 stocks in the S&P 500… -
S&P 500 closes up 0.2% as money rotates from tech into valueAs seen on the 24/7 Wall St. homepage on October 20, 2026. Money moved out of tech and into old-economy names today: the Dow added 492 points while the Nasdaq finished slightly red. If that rotation sticks, value and healthcare leadership… -
Dow Jones gains 529 points while S&P 500 edges up; WTI crude drops to $101Jordanian mobile bakeries in Gaza produce over 69 million loaves since January 2025 Crown Prince to patronize tomorrow closing ceremony of 2nd World Camel Endurance Championship, 6th Jordan Camel Racing, Nabati Poetry Festival Arab League… -
S&P 500 Turns Higher as Small Caps and Healthcare LeadNew York, October 20, 2026, 12:52 (ET) U.S. stocks reversed a weak open by midday Tuesday. Small caps and rate-sensitive shares led while technology lagged. The change shifted the signal from a large-cap pullback to a broad earnings-driven… -
Top S&P 500 growth stocks to consider buying in October 2026Ben McPoland thinks these two S&P 500 stocks are trading too cheaply, despite growing concerns about artificial intelligence. Read the headlines and you might get the impression that the S&P 500 is trading at ridiculous levels. Dig a… - 3 S&P 500 Stocks That Concern UsWhile the S&P 500 (^GSPC) includes industry leaders, not every stock in the index is a winner. Some companies are past their prime, weighed down by poor execution, weak financials, or structural headwinds. Some large-cap stocks are past…
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Micron Stock Looks Like an S&P 500 Bargain, but Wyckoff Points to More DownsideMicron stock has sold off since June as investors have sold off memory companies despite their strong revenue and profitable growth. MU dropped to $880, down by over 30% from its all-time high. This retreat has made it one of the cheapest…
Related markets
All indexes ›S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 20?
$767.50median
$735$795
Median $767.50Middle half $766.25 – $768.75
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 19?
$767.50median
$745$805
Median $767.50Middle half $766.25 – $768.75
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
$775.55high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $775.55 and as low as $761.50.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $77554%
- Falls to $765>99%
- Falls to $76028%
Already reached: ↑ $765
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
$781.46high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $781.46 and as low as $758.45.
- Reaches $770>99%
- Reaches $78055%
- Falls to $76054%
- Falls to $75030%
Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
92%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.