CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.21%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.21%Middle half 0.13% – 0.3%
Install
Canada Consumer Price Index (Dec 2026)
The odds
2.95%median
-0.2%4.8%
Median 2.95%Middle half 2.65% – 3.55%
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.93% on Oct 20, 2.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0% | 95% | $1.05 | 30.00 | |||
| Above 0.2% | 95% | $1.05 | 110 | |||
| Above 0.4% | 95% | $1.05 | 90.00 | |||
| Above 0.6% | 95% | $1.05 | 110 | |||
| Above 0.8% | 95% | $1.05 | 150 | |||
| Above 1% | 94% | $1.06 | 140 | |||
| Above 1.2% | 94% | $1.06 | 170 | |||
| Above 1.4% | 93% | $1.08 | 190 | |||
| Above 1.6% | 93% | $1.08 | 120 | |||
| Above 1.8% | 93% | $1.08 | 130 | |||
| Above 2% | 92% | $1.09 | 160 | |||
| Above 2.2% | 90% | $1.11 | 170 | |||
| Above 2.4% | 89% | $1.12 | 190 | |||
| Above 2.6% | 78% | $1.28 | 160 | |||
| Above 2.8% | 66% | $1.52 | 120 | |||
| Above 3% | 44% | $2.27 | 50.00 | |||
| Above 3.2% | 31% | $3.23 | ||||
| Above 3.4% | 28% | $3.57 | ||||
| Above 3.6% | 24% | $4.17 | ||||
| Above 3.8% | 8% | $12.50 | ||||
| Above 4% | 8% | $12.50 | 10.00 | |||
| Above 4.2% | 8% | $12.50 | 20.00 | |||
| Above 4.4% | 7% | $14.29 | 20.00 | |||
| Above 4.6% | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Canada Consumer Price Index
Search ›- Euro slides as weekend of unrest adds to pressure on French governmentThe pound (GBP) extended its gains against most major currencies at the end of last week, with Sterling largely shrugging off dovish signals from Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey. Addressing the Institute of International…
- Calendar: What investors need to know for the week aheadA daily rundown of the economic reports and corporate earnings that will be grabbing the market’s attention in the week ahead China releases third quarter GDP plus September retail sales and industrial production 830 am ET: Canada consumer…
-
Bank of Canada rate hike case weaker than Fed's, CIBC arguesCIBC economists say Canada's inflation is mostly a fuel story, unlike the broader US problem The Federal Reserve's quarter-point rate increase in September has strengthened bets that the Bank of Canada will deliver a rate hike of its own…
Related markets
All inflation ›October Inflation China - Annual
0.94%median
0.5%1.4%
Median 0.94%Middle half 0.78% – 0.99%
CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)
3.88%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.88%Middle half 3.72% – 4.04%
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.51%median
0.6%4.9%
Median 3.51%Middle half 3.09% – 3.74%
CPI in December (Dec 2026)
0.27%median
-0.2%1%
Median 0.27%Middle half 0.1% – 0.42%
Core CPI YoY in December (Dec 2026)
2.88%median
2%3.6%
Median 2.88%Middle half 2.73% – 3.03%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.