Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 20, 11 PM ETRepublican Party: 75% → 69%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Republican Party
71%
69¢
80¢
$1.25
6.00
Democratic Party
29%
21¢
33¢
$3.03
2.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Republican Party, Democratic Party
Bill Ackman goes off on Democratic Party, says it's in worst place it's ever beenFox News · 18 h agoFox News Bill Ackman goes off on Democratic Party, says it's in worst place it's ever been Bill Ackman sounded off on The Democratic Party during an interview posted Monday, telling podcast host Katie Miller that it’s the worst it has ever…
Democratic Party candidate for Ward 2 touts city government knowledgePost Journal · 7 h agoJason Sample said his knowledge of city government gleaned from two decades as a news reporter will help him hit the ground running if he is elected by Ward 2 residents to the City Council on Nov. 3. Sample is the Democratic Party’s chosen…
Republican Party’s effort to immediately stop Hope Florida ads rejected by judgeMiami Herald · 18 h agoA Florida judge on Tuesday temporarily denied the Republican Party of Florida’s request to block political advertisements mentioning the leaked Hope Florida grand jury report. Judge Peter F. Estrada in Highlands County said the Republican…
Democratic Party has been resilient amid setbacks for 72 yearsThe Observer Media Ltd · 10 h agoOn October 6, 2026, Uganda’s Democratic Party (DP) marked 72 years since its establishment. Its journey is a story of political courage, electoral triumphs, internal divisions, changing alliances and remarkable survival. For Uganda’s…
Democratic Party warns Governor Chu and lawmaker — Korea HeraldUA.NEWS · 4 h agoUA.NEWS Democratic Party warns Governor Chu and lawmaker — Korea Herald In South Korea, the ruling Democratic Party has issued warnings to Gyeonggi Province Governor Chu Mi-ae and lawmaker Bu Seung-chan over remarks deemed disrespectful…
Interviews with Democratic Nominees at Fayette County Democratic Party MeetingThe Alabama News Wire · 16 h agoThe Alabama News Wire Video by Scott Gravlee Fayette County Democrats hold monthly meeting at Civic Center There was a problem reporting this. Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language. James…
Steve Pitman, Republican PartyNews-Topic · 9 h ago1. What made you decide to run for this office? A) I decided to run for county commissioner because I deeply love Mitchell County and want to see it continue to grow, thrive, and remain a place we are all proud to call home. This community…
Harley Masters, Republican PartyNews-Topic · 9 h ago1. What made you decide to run for this office? A) I am running for reelection to see the Helene recovery through and make sure the county is restored to the way it was before or better; making sure we have proactive plans in place to…
Oct 20 Republican Party Chair Chris Jessup: ElectionsDavidsonLocal.com · 23 h agoColumn by Christopher Jessup - Atrium Health Wake Forest Baptist Lexington Medical Center - Anne and Sarabeth Mama's Gonna Make It Podcast Once again, we are hearing the familiar line that this is the most important election of our…
R.I. Democratic Party chair resigns after spouse indicted on fraud chargesBostonGlobe.com · 18 h agoPROVIDENCE — Rhode Island Democratic Party Chairwoman Liz Beretta-Perik resigned Tuesday after her husband was indicted on charges of stealing approximately $20 million in Pell grants and other federal and state subsidies from a…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.