Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 22, 2 AM ETRepublican Party: 75% → 57%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Republican Party
57%
44¢
73¢
$1.37
7.00
Democratic Party
43%
31¢
55¢
$1.82
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Republican Party, Democratic Party
Bill Ackman goes off on Democratic Party, says it's in worst place it's ever beenFox News · 35 h agoFox News Bill Ackman goes off on Democratic Party, says it's in worst place it's ever been Bill Ackman sounded off on The Democratic Party during an interview posted Monday, telling podcast host Katie Miller that it’s the worst it has ever…
This November, Choose The Democratic PartyAudubon · 17 h agoKSOM Shop Local And Save This November, Choose The Democratic Party A “no” vote opposes Amendment 1, thus maintaining the requirement of a simple majority vote in both chambers of the state legislature to pass a bill that would increase…
The Machine Behind the Democratic Party’s Radical TransformationDr. Rich Swier · 11 h agoFollow the Money: The Donors, Politicians and PACs Seeking to Bring Down the “American Empire”. WATCH to find out what’s inside our latest report A network of far-left political action committees (PACs) is working with Islamic groups to…
The Democratic Party Still Hates the LeftBlack Agenda Report · 17 h agoThe Democratic Party is terrified of liberal reformism and will not countenance left leaning democrats being in a position to change their plans for austerity and neoliberal orthodoxy. The Democratic Party is terrified of liberal reformism…
Bedri Hamza resigns as leader of the Democratic Party of KosovoEuronews Albania · 15 h agoBedri Hamza has resigned as leader of the Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK). He has also informed the party’s leadership of his decision. During a press conference, Hamza said that people must know when it is their responsibility to take on…
Democratic Party Issues Only Warnings Over 'Straw' RemarksSeoul Economic Daily · 18 h agoSeoul Economic Daily The Democratic Party decided at a closed-door supreme council meeting on Oct 21 to issue warnings to the two Cho Kye-won, the party's spokesperson, said the measure "carries the meaning of urging those involved to…
State Rep. Jenni Furtado named chairwoman of Rhode Island Democratic PartyWJAR2 · 16 h agoHouse Speaker Chris Blazejewski said Wednesday that Rep. Jenni Furtado will serve as the new chairwoman of the Rhode Island Democratic Party. Furtado succeeds Liz Beretta-Perik, who resigned amid fraud charges against her husband in Ohio…
Her parents fled violence in Peru. Now, she'll be RI's new Democratic Party chair.AOL.com · 16 h agoState Rep. Jenni Furtado of East Providence has been picked as the next chairwoman of the Rhode Island Democratic Party, House Speaker Christopher Blazejewski announced Wednesday, Oct. 21. Furtado, Rhode Island's first Peruvian-American…
Democratic Party candidate for Ward 2 touts city government knowledgePost Journal · 24 h agoJason Sample said his knowledge of city government gleaned from two decades as a news reporter will help him hit the ground running if he is elected by Ward 2 residents to the City Council on Nov. 3. Sample is the Democratic Party’s chosen…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.