UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
Gaston Bolaños50%
Francis Marshall51%
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UFC: Who Will Quillan Salkilld Fight Next?
The odds
33%Benoit Saint Denis
- Benoit Saint Denis33%▲ 1
- Rafael Fiziev12%▲ 9
- Mauricio Ruffy1%▼ 3
How the odds have moved
Benoit Saint Denis: 46% on Oct 20, 33% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 9 PM ETBenoit Saint Denis: 36% → 23%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benoit Saint Denis | 33% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | $10.4K |
| Rafael Fiziev | 12% | ▲ 9 | 3¢ | 21¢ | $4.78 | $1.9K |
| Mauricio Ruffy | 1% | ▼ 3 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $66.67 | $5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: UFC, Quillan Salkilld Fight, Benoit Saint Denis
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions