Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

Polymarket Sports › Soccer Closes Dec 31 · $353K today · $1.2M traded · $319K at stake · prices read 8 h ago

The odds

>99%Harry Kane
  • Harry Kane>99%▲ 3
  • Lamine Yamal>99%▲ 8
  • Kylian Mbappé>99%▲ 6
  • Declan Rice1%
  • Vitinha<1%
  • Vinícius Júnior<1%
  • Achraf Hakimi<1%▼ 2
  • Bruno Fernandes<1%
  • Rodri<1%▼ 10
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%▼ 5
  • Lionel Messi<1%▼ 14
  • Fabian Ruiz<1%▼ 2
7 more
  • Ousmane Dembélé<1%▼ 7
  • Pau Cubarsi<1%▼ 1
  • Erling Haaland<1%▼ 1
  • Jude Bellingham<1%▼ 2
  • Michael Olise<1%▼ 2
  • Luis Diaz<1%▼ 2
  • Lautaro Martinez<1%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

Harry Kane: 97% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Harry Kane >99% ▲ 3 100¢ 100¢ $247K
Lamine Yamal >99% ▲ 8 100¢ 100¢ $18K
Kylian Mbappé >99% ▲ 6 100¢ 100¢ $194K
Declan Rice 1% 1¢ $100.00 $3.1K
Vitinha <1% 1¢ $427
Vinícius Júnior <1% 1¢ $731
Achraf Hakimi <1% ▼ 2 1¢ $433
Bruno Fernandes <1% 0¢ $1.3K
Rodri <1% ▼ 10 0¢ $56.6K
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia <1% ▼ 5 0¢ $70.8K
Lionel Messi <1% ▼ 14 0¢ $148K
Fabian Ruiz <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $55.7K
Ousmane Dembélé <1% ▼ 7 0¢ $89.8K
Pau Cubarsi <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $14.9K
Erling Haaland <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $11K
Jude Bellingham <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $3K
Michael Olise <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $88.3K
Luis Diaz <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $399
Lautaro Martinez <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $932
Mohamed Salah <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.6K
Pedri <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.8K
Cole Palmer <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $2.3K
Federico Valverde <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $2K
Julian Alvarez <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $2.3K
Desire Doue <1% ▼ 5 0¢ $6.1K
Raphinha <1% ▼ 4 0¢ $952
Dominik Szoboszlai <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $1.2K
Cristiano Ronaldo <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $532
Rodrygo <1% 0¢ $1.2K
Enzo Fernandez <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $2.5K
Bukayo Saka <1% ▼ 4 0¢ $2.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Ballon d'Or, Ballon d'Or Top Finish, Harry Kane

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions