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Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
The odds
- Harry Kane>99%▲ 1
- Lamine Yamal>99%▲ 1
- Kylian Mbappé>99%▲ 2
- Rodri>99%▲ 21
- Lionel Messi98%▲ 23
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1%▼ 20
- Vinícius Júnior1%
- Luis Diaz1%
- Bruno Fernandes<1%
- Fabian Ruiz<1%▼ 9
- Ousmane Dembélé<1%▼ 12
- Pau Cubarsi<1%▼ 4
7 more
- Erling Haaland<1%▼ 4
- Jude Bellingham<1%▼ 2
- Michael Olise<1%▼ 34
- Declan Rice<1%▼ 2
- Vitinha<1%▼ 3
- Achraf Hakimi<1%▼ 3
- Lautaro Martinez<1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Harry Kane: 99% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $11.8K | |
| Lamine Yamal | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $21.6K | |
| Kylian Mbappé | >99% | ▲ 2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $46.9K | |
| Rodri | >99% | ▲ 21 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $47.6K | |
| Lionel Messi | 98% | ▲ 23 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $68.7K | |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 1% | ▼ 20 | 2¢ | $55.56 | $60K | |
| Vinícius Júnior | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | $541 | ||
| Luis Diaz | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | $670 | ||
| Bruno Fernandes | <1% | 1¢ | $537 | |||
| Fabian Ruiz | <1% | ▼ 9 | 0¢ | $43.9K | ||
| Ousmane Dembélé | <1% | ▼ 12 | 0¢ | $59.2K | ||
| Pau Cubarsi | <1% | ▼ 4 | 0¢ | $10.6K | ||
| Erling Haaland | <1% | ▼ 4 | 0¢ | $25.4K | ||
| Jude Bellingham | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $10.8K | ||
| Michael Olise | <1% | ▼ 34 | 0¢ | $67.4K | ||
| Declan Rice | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $13.5K | ||
| Vitinha | <1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | $25.3K | ||
| Achraf Hakimi | <1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | $12.8K | ||
| Lautaro Martinez | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $792 | ||
| Mohamed Salah | <1% | ▼ 7 | 0¢ | $1.9K | ||
| Pedri | <1% | ▼ 7 | 0¢ | $1.4K | ||
| Cole Palmer | <1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | $1.2K | ||
| Federico Valverde | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $2.2K | ||
| Julian Alvarez | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $1.3K | ||
| Desire Doue | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $2K | ||
| Raphinha | <1% | ▼ 5 | 0¢ | $1.8K | ||
| Dominik Szoboszlai | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $2.6K | ||
| Cristiano Ronaldo | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $2K | ||
| Rodrygo | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $3.2K | ||
| Enzo Fernandez | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $1.5K | ||
| Bukayo Saka | <1% | ▼ 6 | 0¢ | $981 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ballon d'Or, Ballon d'Or Top Finish, Harry Kane
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Ballon d'Or 2026 predictions: Did Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal or Kylian Mbappe win Golazo Network vote?Jaydee Dyer and Ian Joy are joined by Phil Kitromilides to break down an exciting El Clásico that Real Madrid won 2-1 over Barcelona. Ballon d'Or 2026 predictions: Did Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal or Kylian Mbappe win Golazo Network vote?… -
'It's always Harry!' - Bayern Munich stars back Harry Kane to win Ballon d'Or as German giants touch down in LondonHarry Kane has arrived in London as the overwhelming favorite to secure his first Ballon d'Or following a record-breaking debut season in Germany. The England captain leads a star-studded Bayern Munich delegation that has touched down in… -
Ballon d'Or website blunder causes confusionHarry Kane could become the first Englishman since 2001 to win the Ballon d'Or For a moment, it seemed as though Harry Kane's dreams of winning the Ballon d'Or had come true. It was shortly after 17:15 GMT on Monday when an article from… - Ballon d'Or site names Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé as winners in blunderThe official Ballon d'Or website mistakenly published articles naming three different players as winners of the 2026 men's award, hours before Monday's ceremony in London.
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Ballon d'Or chaos! Official website bizarrely lists Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappe as winners hours before London ceremonyThe football world has been left in a state of confusion after the official Ballon d'Or website appeared to announce three different winners just hours before the gala. Ballon d'Or chaos! Official website bizarrely lists Harry Kane, Lamine… -
Who will win Ballon d'Or 2026? Odds and prediction as Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal battle it out for top awardAt the award ceremony in London on Monday evening, France Football will hand out their prestigious and world-famous award, delivering the 2026 Ballon d'Or to the best soccer player on the planet. French star Ousmane Dembele, last year's… -
Harry Kane Primed To Pip Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappe To Ballon d'Or GloryKane struck a remarkable 73 goals in 65 games for Bayern Munich and England last season, leading the German giants to a league and cup double and England to the semi-finals of the World Cup London: England captain Harry Kane is the… -
Ballon d'Or LIVE: Will Harry Kane become the first English winner since Michael Owen as he looks to beat Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappe to prestigious award?Follow Daily Mail Sport's live blog of the Ballon d'Or awards ceremony as Harry Kane looks to become the first English winner since Michael Owen in 2001. There are multiple awards (more on those in a bit), but in terms of the Men's Ballon… -
Ballon d'Or plunged into CHAOS as esteemed event announces Harry Kane, Kylian Mbappe and Lamine Yamal ALL as winners on official website just hours before the ceremonyHarry Kane, Kylian Mbappe and Lamine Yamal were all bizarrely listed as winners of the Ballon d'Or on the organisation's website hours before the ceremony began in London. The trio have all been viewed among the leading candidates to land… -
Ballon d'Or website sparks confusion after naming Harry Kane, Kylian Mbappe and Lamine Yamal as winnersFrance Football have sparked controversy ahead of the Ballon d’Or ceremony after accidentally publishing three separate profiles declaring Harry Kane, Kylian Mbappe and Lamine Yamal as the winner of the prestigious award. According to a… -
Ballon d'Or winner? Kane's best Bundesliga goalsWith the 2026 Ballon d'Or just around the corner, BBC Sport looks back at some of Harry Kane's best goals in a Bayern Munich shirt. Ballon d'Or winner? Kane's best Bundesliga goals. Video, 00:01:11Ballon d'Or winner? Kane's best Bundesliga… -
Kane prematurely announced as Ballon d'Or winner - but he wasn't only oneHarry Kane could become the first Englishman since 2001 to win the Ballon d'Or For a moment, it seemed as though Harry Kane's dreams of winning the Ballon d'Or had come true. It was shortly after 17:15 GMT on Monday when an article from…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
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