Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Polymarket Sports › Soccer Closes Dec 31 · $212K today · $55K traded · $117K at stake · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

>99%Harry Kane
  • Harry Kane>99%▲ 1
  • Lamine Yamal>99%▲ 1
  • Kylian Mbappé>99%▲ 2
  • Rodri>99%▲ 21
  • Lionel Messi98%▲ 23
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1%▼ 20
  • Vinícius Júnior1%
  • Luis Diaz1%
  • Bruno Fernandes<1%
  • Fabian Ruiz<1%▼ 9
  • Ousmane Dembélé<1%▼ 12
  • Pau Cubarsi<1%▼ 4
7 more
  • Erling Haaland<1%▼ 4
  • Jude Bellingham<1%▼ 2
  • Michael Olise<1%▼ 34
  • Declan Rice<1%▼ 2
  • Vitinha<1%▼ 3
  • Achraf Hakimi<1%▼ 3
  • Lautaro Martinez<1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Harry Kane: 99% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Harry Kane >99% ▲ 1 100¢ 100¢ $11.8K
Lamine Yamal >99% ▲ 1 100¢ 100¢ $21.6K
Kylian Mbappé >99% ▲ 2 100¢ 100¢ $46.9K
Rodri >99% ▲ 21 100¢ 100¢ $47.6K
Lionel Messi 98% ▲ 23 96¢ 100¢ $68.7K
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 1% ▼ 20 2¢ $55.56 $60K
Vinícius Júnior 1% 1¢ $100.00 $541
Luis Diaz 1% 1¢ $100.00 $670
Bruno Fernandes <1% 1¢ $537
Fabian Ruiz <1% ▼ 9 0¢ $43.9K
Ousmane Dembélé <1% ▼ 12 0¢ $59.2K
Pau Cubarsi <1% ▼ 4 0¢ $10.6K
Erling Haaland <1% ▼ 4 0¢ $25.4K
Jude Bellingham <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $10.8K
Michael Olise <1% ▼ 34 0¢ $67.4K
Declan Rice <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $13.5K
Vitinha <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $25.3K
Achraf Hakimi <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $12.8K
Lautaro Martinez <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $792
Mohamed Salah <1% ▼ 7 0¢ $1.9K
Pedri <1% ▼ 7 0¢ $1.4K
Cole Palmer <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $1.2K
Federico Valverde <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $2.2K
Julian Alvarez <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.3K
Desire Doue <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $2K
Raphinha <1% ▼ 5 0¢ $1.8K
Dominik Szoboszlai <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $2.6K
Cristiano Ronaldo <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $2K
Rodrygo <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $3.2K
Enzo Fernandez <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.5K
Bukayo Saka <1% ▼ 6 0¢ $981

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Ballon d'Or, Ballon d'Or Top Finish, Harry Kane

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions