Brest: Michael Geerts vs Niels McDonald
Michael Geerts>99%
Niels McDonald<1%
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Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify
The odds
96%Daniil Medvedev
- Daniil Medvedev96%
- Flavio Cobolli96%▲ 1
- Arthur Fils93%▲ 1
- Frances Tiafoe82%▼ 5
- Rafael Jodar70%▼ 1
- Alex de Minaur14%
- Novak Djokovic11%▼ 4
- Taylor Fritz5%
- Matteo Arnaldi3%
- Andrey Rublev3%
- Jakub Mensik3%
- Arthur Fery3%
23 more
- Ignacio Buse3%
- Valentin Vacherot3%
- Learner Tien3%
- Felix Auger-Aliassime3%
- Jiri Lehecka3%
- Tommy Paul3%
- Alexander Blockx3%
- Ugo Humbert2%
- Francisco Cerundolo2%
- Quentin Halys2%
- Raphael Collignon2%
- Luciano Darderi1%
- Brandon Nakashima1%
- Casper Ruud1%
- Mariano Navone1%
- Stefanos Tsitsipas1%
- Alexander Bublik1%
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry1%
- Alejandro Tabilo1%
- Joao Fonseca1%
- Lorenzo Musetti1%
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina<1%
- Zizou Bergs<1%
How the odds have moved
Daniil Medvedev: 95% on Oct 20, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Carlos Alcaraz | >99% | ▲ 3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $751 | |
| ✓ Ben Shelton | >99% | ▲ 2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.7K | |
| Daniil Medvedev | 96% | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | $5.1K | |
| Flavio Cobolli | 96% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | $2.7K |
| Arthur Fils | 93% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | $6.1K |
| Frances Tiafoe | 82% | ▼ 5 | 75¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | $1.9K |
| Rafael Jodar | 70% | ▼ 1 | 69¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | $9.7K |
| Alex de Minaur | 14% | 12¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $8.6K | |
| Novak Djokovic | 11% | ▼ 4 | 9¢ | 14¢ | $7.19 | $5K |
| Taylor Fritz | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | $5.1K | |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 3% | 0¢ | 7¢ | $14.93 | $20 | |
| Andrey Rublev | 3% | 0¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | $131 | |
| Jakub Mensik | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $162 | |
| Arthur Fery | 3% | 0¢ | 7¢ | $15.38 | $10 | |
| Ignacio Buse | 3% | 0¢ | 7¢ | $15.38 | $89 | |
| Valentin Vacherot | 3% | 0¢ | 6¢ | $15.87 | $10 | |
| Learner Tien | 3% | 0¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | $150 | |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $6.8K | |
| Jiri Lehecka | 3% | 0¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | $2.5K | |
| Tommy Paul | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $18.87 | $1.1K | |
| Alexander Blockx | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | ||
| Ugo Humbert | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $278 | |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $1.5K | |
| Quentin Halys | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $20 | |
| Raphael Collignon | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | $10 | |
| Luciano Darderi | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | $173 | |
| Brandon Nakashima | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $66.67 | $1.1K | |
| Casper Ruud | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $58.82 | $581 | |
| Mariano Navone | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $71.43 | $252 | |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $76.92 | $215 | |
| Alexander Bublik | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $246 | |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $125 | |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $110 | |
| Joao Fonseca | 1% | 1¢ | $83.33 | $234 | ||
| Lorenzo Musetti | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $526 | ||
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $206 | ||
| Zizou Bergs | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $764 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nitto ATP Finals, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli
Search ›-
The feat Daniil Medvedev and Elena Rybakina have both just achieved for the first time in their careersDaniil Medvedev and Elena Rybakina both added to their career title tallies on Sunday. Medvedev emerged victorious in the Almaty Open final by coming back from a set down to defeat Nikoloz Basilashvili and secure his fourth title of the… -
Daniil Medvedev rates his chances of winning a Grand Slam again after defending his title in AlmatyDaniil Medvedev is the champion in Almaty once again, having defended a title for the first time in his career. The Russian, who was the top seed in Kazakhstan this week, was the favourite to retain his crown despite the stacked roster… -
ATP roundup: Daniil Medvedev bags title No. 25 in AlmatyTop seed and defending champion Daniil Medvedev of Russia rallied past Georgian Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-7 (6), 6-1, 6-3 to claim the title at the Almaty Open on Sunday in Kazakhstan. Medvedev, the World No. 5, picked up his fourth… -
How the race to the ATP Finals now looks after Daniil Medvedev wins the Almaty OpenDaniil Medvedev has improved his chances of qualifying for the ATP Finals after winning the Almaty Open title. Medvedev missed out on qualifying for the ATP Finals last year for the first time in six years, but he had already had a… -
Daniil Medvedev should now aim to equal one of Carlos Alcaraz’s personal records after winning AlmatyDaniil Medvedev secured his 25th career ATP Tour title with victory against Nikoloz Basilashvili on Sunday afternoon. Medvedev, the former world number one, fought from a set down before triumphing 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 in the Almaty Open final… -
Daniil Medvedev’s recent comments about Novak Djokovic and the ATP Finals are entirely correctDaniil Medvedev has never been shy of vocalising his true feelings about important matters concerning the ATP Tour and tennis’ infrastructure. Medvedev, the former world number one and 2021 US Open champion, was recently asked a pertinent… -
Why the past week has been a disaster for Novak Djokovic despite not even playingNovak Djokovic may not have played this week, but he has still suffered a huge setback. After all, the 39-year-old has made it clear that he has very real aspirations of competing in the ATP Finals this year. Having qualified in 2024 and… -
Daniil Medvedev defends Almaty Open title in comeback victory over rejuvenated BasilashvilliDaniil Medvedev defends his Almaty Open title, wins his 46th ATP trophy and strengthens his bid to qualify for the ATP Finals in Turin. Daniil Medvedev defends Almaty Open title in comeback victory over rejuvenated Basilashvilli Return to… - Daniil Medvedev defends Almaty Open title to close in on ATP FinalsTop seed Daniil Medvedev shook off a first-set stumble to beat Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-7(6) 6-1 6-3 to defend his Almaty Open title on Sunday, picking up his fourth trophy on the ATP Tour this year. The win was a boost for Medvedev’s hopes…
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“Most Fair Part”- Daniil Medvedev Challenges Alexander Zverev Critics With a Simple Explanation for His Top RankingOct 25, 2026 | 11:57 PM EDT 261001 — BEIJING, Oct. 1, 2026 — Alexander Zverev celebrates after winning the men s singles first round match between Alexander Zverev of Germany and Cameron Norrie of Britain at 2026 China Open tennis… -
Arthur Fils gives emotional reaction after losing in the Brussels semi-finals, ‘it’s hard to see the positives’Arthur Fils has endured a strange week in Brussels, with his time in the Belgian capital having now been brought to a rather abrupt end. As is customary, the top seed at this ATP 250 event was given a bye through the first round. However… -
Alexander Bublik suggests if he’ll play again this season after retiring with injury vs Daniil MedvedevAlexander Bublik was unable to complete his semi-final match against Daniil Medvedev at the Almaty Open. Bublik was the only remaining home player at the Almaty Open after coming from behind to win a dramatic quarter-final match against…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions