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Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
The odds
- October 31, 20261%
- November 30, 202620%▼ 5
- December 31, 202683%▲ 3
How the odds have moved
October 31, 2026: 2% on Oct 20, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2025 | <1% | 0¢ | $48.6K | |||
| June 30, 2026 | <1% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | $34.48 | $3.8K | |
| September 30, 2026 | <1% | 0¢ | $7.8K | |||
| October 31, 2026 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $62.50 | $4K | |
| November 30, 2026 | 20% | ▼ 5 | 18¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | $9.2K |
| December 31, 2026 | 83% | ▲ 3 | 82¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | $398K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Variational
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Sebastian Koch, Toni Servillo Set for Oscar Winner Gabriele Salvatores’ Chess-World Noir ‘The Lüneburg Variation’ (EXCLUSIVE)Sebastian Koch, star of Oscar-winning German film “The Lives of Others,” and Toni Servillo, protagonist of Italy’s Oscar-winner “The Great Beauty,” are set to topline “The Lüneburg Variation,” a noir based in the world of chess, directed… -
Host–virus genetic interactions mask heritable fitness variation in fliesExperiments in Drosophila melanogaster and its sigma virus show that host–virus genotype interactions, not host or virus main effects, dominate transmission, viral load and virulence, keeping fitness variation hidden from selection… -
Year-Long Monitoring Maps VOC Variation Near Former Philadelphia RefineryA community-engaged, year-long passive monitoring study in a Philadelphia fenceline community detected 38 hazardous VOCs and identified traffic, refinery-related evaporative emissions, and industrial solvents as their main sources. What… -
CQC flags ‘considerable’ regional variation in practice nurse workforceA shortage of practice nurses in some areas is increasing pressures for existing staff and reducing capacity to provide timely care, the healthcare watchdog has warned. The Care Quality Commission’s (CQC’s) annual report into the state of… -
Ericsson Canada and ÉTS Partner to Develop Scalable Variational Quantum Algorithms for Telecom Network OptimizationWritten by the team at Global Quantum Intelligence GQI’s intelligence platform, from the team that publishes QCR. Your QCR account includes a free preview. Review the official partnership announcement on the Ericsson Newsroom here and… -
Seedance 2.5: How to Test AI Video Variations Without Losing the BriefFor the past 4 years, I’ve been delivering expert Off-Page SEO services, specializing in high-authority backlinks and guest posting. As a Top Rated Freelancer on Upwork, I’ve proudly helped 100+ businesses achieve top rankings on Google’s… -
Variational Perturbation Theory in Open Quantum Systems for Efficient Steady State ComputationAndré Melo, Gaspard Beugnot, and Fabrizio Minganti Alice & Bob, 53 boulevard du Général Martial Valin, 75015 Paris, France [8] L. D. Carr, D. DeMille, R. V. Krems, and J. Ye. ``Cold and ultracold molecules: science, technology and… -
3 Best Biceps Curl Variations for Wider and More Muscular Arms | BOXROXLydia Fish and Noah Wilson Win 2026 Crash Crucible Event Andrew Hiller’s YouTube Channel Suddenly Removed, 1,300 Videos Gone Dylan Scott Returns With a Win as Alen Ploj Steals the Show in Gdansk Hillerfit has been removed from YouTube… -
Sebastian Koch and Toni Servillo to Star in Gabriele Salvatores’ Chess Noir ‘The Lüneburg Variation’Oscar-winning director Gabriele Salvatores is set to helm “The Lüneburg Variation,” a new noir film centered on the world of chess. The project boasts a cast featuring acclaimed actors Sebastian Koch, known for “The Lives of Others,” and… - USDA Direct Slaughter Cow and Bull Report: Regional Bid Variation for October 22, 2026The USDA Agricultural Marketing Service released its Direct Slaughter Cow and Bull Report for plant-delivered bids on a dressed basis, dated October 22, 2026, according to the agency's MyMarketNews service. The report, identified as…
- Assessment of Regional Variations in Disaster Risk Management Strategies Across the Amazon River BasinThe Amazon Basin faces escalating risks from climate change, including floods, droughts, and fire hazards, which threaten communities, ecosystems, and regional development. Due to the basin’s transboundary hydrological and ecological…
- Use Your Head? Exploring Configuration-Dependent Variation in Key Fob RangeHolding a remote keyless entry fob near the head provides a practical opportunity to investigate configuration-dependent changes in operating range. This pilot study examined five head-contact configurations in nine adults using a factory…
Related markets
All other coins ›Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
- October 31, 202613%▲ 3
- November 30, 202688%▲ 2
- December 31, 202693%▲ 3
4 more
- March 31, 202798%▲ 4
- June 30, 202798%
- September 30, 202798%▼ 1
- December 31, 202798%▲ 1
How high will ZEC get in October?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1,764.
- Reaches $1,45086%
- Reaches $1,46059%
Already reached: Above $1,430.00, Above $1,440.00
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Axis Robotics FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.