Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
September 30, 2026
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$4.3K
December 31, 2026
22%
21¢
22¢
$4.55
$5.1K
March 31, 2027
51%
▲ 5
39¢
62¢
$1.61
$1.7K
June 30, 2027
51%
▲ 1
56¢
62¢
$1.61
$1.2K
September 30, 2027
51%
▼ 18
15¢
69¢
$1.45
$1.4K
December 31, 2027
61%
▼ 7
57¢
64¢
$1.56
$2.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Fhenix Deploys CoFHE Encrypted Computation On Ethereum And ArbitrumThe Currency analytics · 3 days agoJean-Luc Maracon is a French-Swiss expert in decentralized finance, known for his sharp analysis of Bitcoin, European Web3 projects, and crypto regulatory challenges. Splitting his time between Geneva and Paris, he brings a unique…
Ethereum and Arbitrum Gain New Privacy Layer as Fhenix Goes LiveBitcoin News · 5 days agoFhenix has launched its mainnet alongside its fully homomorphic encryption coprocessor, enabling smart contracts to execute directly on encrypted data while enforcing rules onchain. Fhenix launched its mainnet on Ethereum and Layer 2…
Fhenix and Tandem: Bringing FHE to Blockchains Everywherefhenix.io · 5 days agoThese make the Website work - page delivery, security and bot protection, and remembering the cookie choice you made. The Website cannot function properly without them, so they are set without asking. These remember choices you make…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions