UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
Gaston Bolaños50%
Francis Marshall51%
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Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
The odds
92%Justin Gaethje
- Justin Gaethje92%▲ 1
- Arman Tsarukyan7%▼ 1
- Ilia Topuria1%
- Max Holloway<1%
- Paddy Pimblett<1%
- Charles Oliveira<1%
- Dan Hooker<1%
- Mateusz Gamrot<1%
- Benoît Saint Denis<1%
- Rafael Fiziev<1%
- Renato Moicano<1%
- Mauricio Ruffy<1%
How the odds have moved
Justin Gaethje: 87% on Oct 20, 92% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 92% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 93¢ | $1.07 | $58.8K |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 7% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 7¢ | $13.70 | $49.9K |
| Ilia Topuria | 1% | 1¢ | $90.91 | $25.3K | ||
| Max Holloway | <1% | 0¢ | $20.8K | |||
| Paddy Pimblett | <1% | 0¢ | $532K | |||
| Charles Oliveira | <1% | 0¢ | $11.8K | |||
| Dan Hooker | <1% | 0¢ | $2.2K | |||
| Mateusz Gamrot | <1% | 0¢ | $2K | |||
| Benoît Saint Denis | <1% | 0¢ | $54.2K | |||
| Rafael Fiziev | <1% | 0¢ | $2.1K | |||
| Renato Moicano | <1% | 0¢ | $2.4K | |||
| Mauricio Ruffy | <1% | 0¢ | $4.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: UFC, UFC Lightweight, Justin Gaethje
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Arman Tsarukyan Says Justin Gaethje is Ducking HimUFC lightweight contender Arman Tsarukyan is convinced that UFC lightweight champion Justin Gaethje is ducking a fight against him. Tsarukyan is coming off a brutal knockout win over Mauricio Ruffy at UFC 331 that cemented his place as the… -
Arman Tsarukyan open to Alexander Volkanovski title fight as he expects Justin Gaethje decision soonArman Tsarukyan believes Alexander Volkanovski is a good matchup for him if Justin Gaethje retires. Tsarukyan has said he’ll fight for the lightweight title early next year after cementing himself as the top contender last month. It seems… -
Arman Tsarukyan: Justin Gaethje ‘trying to duck me,’ open to Alexander Volkanovski vacant title fightArman Tsarukyan welcomes a fight with Justin Gaethje or Alexander Volkanovski Arman Tsarukyan is weighing his options and he has two UFC legends in his sights. Behind the first door is an obvious matchup with lightweight champion Justin… - Arman Tsarukyan Accuses Justin Gaethje of Ducking Him for Title FightTop UFC lightweight contender Arman Tsarukyan still does not know when he will fight for the undisputed lightweight championship, and that is frustrating. It's "hunting season" for Arman Tsarukyan, but the 30-year-old says newly minted…
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“That’s Something I’d Retire For” – Alexander Volkanovski Doubles Down on Justin Gaethje Superfight After UFC 333 WinAlexander Volkanovski added another milestone to his legendary featherweight run at UFC 333, handing Movsar Evloev the first loss of his professional career with a knockout in Abu Dhabi. The victory also marked Volk's ninth win in a… -
Alexander Volkanovski Eyes Justin Gaethje Retirement SuperfightAlexander Volkanovski dropped many jaws with his electrifying title defense against Mosvar Evloev at UFC 333. He aimed to end the fight with a finish and did so in terrific fashion. After knocking out an undefeated fighter in the 2nd… - Arman Tsarukyan Willing to Fight Alexander Volkanovski, Calls Him Tough But OldArman Tsarukyan has discussed whether he would be ready to face Alexander Volkanovski if the Aussie moves up and Justin Gaethje retires. Arman Tsarukyan is game to fight current and two-time UFC featherweight champion Alexander…
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Rematch! Alex Volkanovski eyes Ilia Topuria do-over if Justin Gaethje retires from UFCAlexander Volkanovski is nearing the end of his hall of fame MMA career and wants to retire from UFC in the most spectacular way possible. That’s why “The Great” has set his sights on a championship super fight against current 155-pound… -
Alexander Volkanovski would end fighting career for Justin Gaethje bout: “Win or lose, retire”Home » MMA News » UFC » Alexander Volkanovski would end fighting career for Justin Gaethje… Alexander Volkanovski could be one step closer to a dream fight with Justin Gaethje, and he’d be willing to retire to make the fight happen… - Arman Tsarukyan wants Georges St. Pierre wrestling match after RAF 14Arman Tsarukyan has set his sights on a high-profile wrestling matchup against Georges St. Pierre after his dominant victory over Dillon Danis at Real American Freestyle 14. Arman Tsarukyan wants Georges St. Pierre wrestling match after…
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Justin Gaethje gets told Alexander Volkanovski’s fight IQ would be ‘too much’ for him after UFC 333Alexander Volkanovski’s coach expects to have a huge edge over ‘The Highlight’. Talk of a super fight between the lightweight and featherweight champions has increased after the latter’s impressive performance at UFC 333 on Saturday. In… - Dana White reacts to huge brawl that broke out between Arman Tsarukyan and Dillon Danis at RAFThe UFC boss isn’t surprised that Dillon Danis sparked another brawl during his RAF fight week. This past Friday, Real American Freestyle Wrestling hosted their latest event, RAF 14, headlined by a match between Arman Tsarukyan and Dillon…
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