Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov

Polymarket Sports › Tennis Final 4-6, 7-6(7-5), 7-6(7-5) · FT Starts Fri 10:30 AM ET · $2.1M today · $2.1M traded · $463K at stake · prices read 3 days ago

The odds

Alexander Bublik>99%▲ 46

Karen Khachanov<1%▼ 46

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Alexander Bublik	>99%	▲ 46	100¢	100¢		$1.1M
Karen Khachanov	<1%	▼ 46	0¢	0¢		$1.1M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Alexander Bublik, Karen Khachanov

Search ›

Alexander Bublik suggests if he’ll play again this season after retiring with injury vs Daniil MedvedevYardbarker · 35 h agoAlexander Bublik was unable to complete his semi-final match against Daniil Medvedev at the Almaty Open. Bublik was the only remaining home player at the Almaty Open after coming from behind to win a dramatic quarter-final match against…
Alexander Bublik defies medical advice to play in front of home fans before injury ends his Almaty run: 'The doctors told me not to play'Yardbarker · 37 h agoAlexander Bublik’s Almaty Open campaign ended in disappointment after the Kazakh retired from his semifinal against Daniil Medvedev with a right knee injury. The world No. 19 had fought through a dramatic quarterfinal against Karen…
Alexander Bublik reveals medical warning before retiring against Daniil Medvedev in AlmatyTennis Tonic - News · 2 days agoHome favorite Alexander Bublik revealed that doctors advised him to withdraw from his Almaty Open semifinal before stepping onto the court against Daniil Medvedev. Dealing with a right knee issue sustained the previous evening, the Kazakh…
ATP Almaty Open 2026: Daniil Medvedev Reaches Final After Alexander Bublik Retires With Knee InjuryThe Sunday Guardian · 2 days agoDaniil Medvedev advanced to the Almaty Open 2026 final after Alexander Bublik retired with a knee injury during their semifinal on Saturday. The Russian won the opening set 6-3 before the third-seeded Kazakh was forced to withdraw, ending…
ATP roundup: Alexander Bublik survives thriller to reach Almaty semisDeadspin · 3 days agoThird-seeded Alexander Bublik of Kazakhstan rallied past fifth-seeded Russian Karen Khachanov 4-6, 7-6 (5), 7-6 (5) in Friday's Almaty Open quarterfinals in Kazakhstan. Seventh-seeded Stefanos Tsitsipas of Greece also advanced in straight…
‘I was told not to play at all’: Bublik reveals knee injury behind Almaty retirementtennismajors.com · 2 days agoAlexander Bublik (No. 3) was told not to play his Almaty semifinal after injuring his right knee in his win over Karen Khachanov, but taped it up and lasted a set against Daniil Medvedev “for the fans.” Medvedev, who struggled with his own…
ATP roundup: Taylor Fritz to face Lorenzo Musetti in Lyon title matchYardbarker · 45 h agoSecond-seeded Taylor Fritz drilled 15 aces while overwhelming fellow American Tommy Paul 6-3, 7-5 on Saturday to reach the final at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes in Lyon, France. Fritz also saved all nine break points he faced during…
Medvedev one win from the first title defense of his career after Bublik retires in Almatytennismajors.com · 2 days agoDefending champion Daniil Medvedev (No. 1) is into the Almaty final after an injured Alexander Bublik (No. 3) retired at the end of the first set, which Medvedev won 6-3. He will face qualifier Nikoloz Basilashvili on Sunday as he chases…
Russia’s Khachanov falls to Bublik in quarterfinals at 2026 Almaty Open tennis tournamentTASS · 3 days agoALMATY, October 23. /TASS/. Russia’s Karen Khachanov failed to reach the semifinals stage at the 2026 Almaty Open tennis tournament after he fell in to Alexander Bublik from Kazakhstan on Friday. The 5th-seeded Russian, who is playing…
Alexander Bublik Heads to Hospital After Injury Forces Almaty RetirementEssentiallySports · 44 h agoOct 24, 2026 | 10:32 PM EDT “You win one of the best matches of the season in your home country, at the tournament you’ve always wanted to play, and in ten hours you go to the hospital for an MRI,” said Bublik in his post-match press…

Related markets

All tennis ›

Sports › Tennis

Casper Ruud @ Dominic Stephan Stricker

Casper Ruud97%

Dominic Stephan Stricker3%

Sports › Tennis

Nishesh Basavareddy @ Gabriel Diallo

Nishesh Basavareddy17%

Gabriel Diallo83%

Sports › TennisFinal 3-6, 1-6 · FT

Erste Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien

Luca Van Assche<1%▼ 34

Learner Tien>99%▲ 34

Sports › Tennis

Lucia Bronzetti @ Luisina Giovannini

Lucia Bronzetti18%

Luisina Giovannini83%

Sports › Tennis

Noma Noha Akugue @ Danka Kovinic

Noma Noha Akugue86%

Danka Kovinic14%

Sports › Tennis

Despina Papamichail @ Nauhany Leme Da Silva

Despina Papamichail50%

Nauhany Leme Da Silva50%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Settles onatptour.com

StartsOct 23, 2026 10:30 AM ET

Trading closesOct 30, 2026 10:30 AM ET

Traded$2.1M

Today$2.1M

This week$2.1M

At stake$463K

Followed here sinceOct 23, 2026

The rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Karen Khachanov in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Alexander Bublik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, th

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions