Highest temperature in Denver on October 19?

Polymarket Weather › Daily weather Closed, awaiting its result Closed Wed 2:42 PM ET · $41K today · $60.6K traded · $15.7K at stake

The last odds before it closed

>99%74-75°F

74-75°F>99%▲ 97
59°F or below<1%
60-61°F<1%
62-63°F<1%
64-65°F<1%
66-67°F<1%▼ 1
68-69°F<1%▼ 15
70-71°F<1%▼ 58
72-73°F<1%▼ 27
76-77°F<1%
78°F or higher<1%

How the odds have moved

74-75°F: >99% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Traded
74-75°F	>99%	▲ 97	100¢	100¢	$12K
59°F or below	<1%			0¢	$5.6K
60-61°F	<1%			0¢	$1.2K
62-63°F	<1%			0¢	$1.3K
64-65°F	<1%			0¢	$947
66-67°F	<1%	▼ 1		0¢	$2.9K
68-69°F	<1%	▼ 15		0¢	$5.1K
70-71°F	<1%	▼ 58		0¢	$18K
72-73°F	<1%	▼ 27		0¢	$9.5K
76-77°F	<1%			0¢	$3.4K
78°F or higher	<1%			0¢	$588

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Denver weather

Search ›

Sunny and warm as Denver flies past its average first snowfall date@denvergazette · 5 days agoDenver weather forecasters call for a high of 77 degrees Wednesday Another warmer-than-average day is on tap in Denver on Wednesday. The National Weather Service in Boulder forecasts a high of 77 degrees at Denver International Airport…
Denver weather: More sunshine and mild temperatures Tuesday@denvergazette · 6 days agoSunny but cool temperatures make for a perfect day outside. Grab your pumpkin spice lattes because fall weather is here to stay. ☕The National Weather Service in Boulder said to expect mostly sunny skies, with a high of 72 degrees, and…

Related markets

All daily weather ›

Weather › Daily weather

Where will it rain on Oct 26, 2026?

41%New York City

Weather › Daily weather

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 26, 2026?

83.5median

7887

Median 83.5Middle half 83.2 – 83.8

Weather › Daily weather

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 26, 2026?

77.6median

7079

Median 77.6Middle half 77.2 – 77.9

Weather › Daily weather

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 26, 2026?

68.5median

6776

Median 68.5Middle half 68.1 – 68.9

Weather › Daily weather

Where will it rain on Oct 27, 2026?

31%New York City

Weather › Daily weather

Los Angeles Daily Temperature High (Oct 26, 2026)

37%Above 68°

6781

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Settles onweather.gov

Trading closedOct 21, 2026 2:42 PM ET

Traded$60.6K

Today$41K

This week$60.6K

At stake$15.7K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions