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Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
The odds
>99%Lamine Yamal
- Lamine Yamal>99%▲ 1
- Harry Kane>99%▲ 2
- Ousmane Dembélé>99%▲ 16
- Rodri>99%▲ 2
- Michael Owen>99%▲ 22
- Kylian Mbappé99%▲ 3
- David Beckham2%▼ 52
- Xavi Hernandez1%▼ 3
- Kaka<1%▼ 2
- Sergio Ramos<1%▼ 6
- Cristiano Ronaldo<1%▼ 3
- Zinedine Zidane<1%▼ 72
2 more
- Vinícius Júnior<1%▼ 56
- Lionel Messi<1%▼ 8
How the odds have moved
Lamine Yamal: 95% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.3K | |
| Harry Kane | >99% | ▲ 2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.7K | |
| Ousmane Dembélé | >99% | ▲ 16 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $25.1K | |
| Rodri | >99% | ▲ 2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $11.2K | |
| Michael Owen | >99% | ▲ 22 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $5.9K | |
| Kylian Mbappé | 99% | ▲ 3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $10.8K | |
| David Beckham | 2% | ▼ 52 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $9.2K |
| Xavi Hernandez | 1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $90.91 | $6.3K |
| Kaka | <1% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | $10.1K | ||
| Sergio Ramos | <1% | ▼ 6 | 1¢ | $15.2K | ||
| Cristiano Ronaldo | <1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | $26.7K | ||
| Zinedine Zidane | <1% | ▼ 72 | 0¢ | $31.8K | ||
| Vinícius Júnior | <1% | ▼ 56 | 0¢ | $25.2K | ||
| Lionel Messi | <1% | ▼ 8 | 0¢ | $45.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ballon d'Or, Lamine Yamal, Harry Kane
Search ›-
'A dream come true' - Harry Kane on his Ballon d'Or winHarry Kane has become the first English player to win the Ballon d'Or since Michael Owen in 2001, after being crowned the world's best player at a ceremony in London. Kane scored 61 goals in 51 club matches last season, the most a Bayern… - Top 10 Ballon d'Or rankings results as Kylian Mbappe and Lamine Yamal finish behind winner Harry Kane for 2026The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony was full of surprises, but in the end it finished with the favorite lifting the trophy, as England star Harry Kane won his first award at 33 years old on home soil. With the award gala held outside France for…
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Harry Kane becomes first Englishman in 25 years to win Ballon d'OrEngland's soccer player Harry Kane wins the trophy for striker of the year during the Ballon d'Or ceremony at the London Palladium Theatre in London, England, Monday, Oct. 26, 2026 . Kin Cheung/AP hide caption LONDON — Harry Kane became… -
Harry Kane ends England's 25-year wait for a Ballon d'Or winner – videoHarry Kane became the first Englishman to win football’s most prestigious individual trophy in 25 years at a lavish ceremony in London. The Bayern Munich striker followed in Michael Owen's footsteps after finishing ahead of co-favourites… -
'It was orchestrated!' - Real Madrid legend Guti hits out at 'coincidence' of Harry Kane winning Ballon d'Or in LondonFormer Real Madrid star Guti has sparked controversy by questioning the legitimacy of Harry Kane's recent Ballon d'Or victory. The Spaniard suggested that the decision to award the England captain the trophy was conveniently timed with the… -
Four Cards You Should Buy of New Ballon d'Or Winner Harry KaneThis is the first time that the Ballon D'Or is handed out in London, a subtle tribute to the award's first-ever winner in 1958, Stanley Matthews. Harry Kane topped Kylian Mbappe and Lamine Yamal to join Matthews, Bobby Charlton, Kevin… -
Bayern Munich plot 'special welcome' for Ballon d'Or hero Harry Kane ahead of DFB-Pokal clash against MagdeburgHarry Kane has officially been crowned the best player in the world after picking up the 2026 Ballon d'Or in London. To celebrate this historic achievement, Bayern Munich are preparing an emotional tribute for their star striker when he… -
'Anything is possible' - Harry Kane is first England player to win Ballon d'Or in 25 yearsEngland's Harry Kane has ended a 25-year wait to win the Ballon d'Or trophy. The Ballon d'Or is football's top prize, awarded to the best male and female player of the year chosen by an international panel of judges. Harry Kane, who plays… -
Harry Kane's Ballon d'Or disrespect row: French superstars Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele fail to even stand to shake humble winner's handBy OLIVER TODD, DIGITAL HEAD OF SPORT French football superstars Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele have been accused of disrespecting Harry Kane after failing to stand to shake his hand before he won the Ballon d'Or - the prize for the… -
Spanish media react to Harry Kane winning the Ballon d'Or as Lamine Yamal 'penalised'Lamine Yamal had to settle for third(Image: WireImage) Spanish media took Harry Kane beating Lamine Yamal to the Ballon d'Or well and offered up reasons why the World Cup winner had missed out on the award. Kane is a popular winner after… - Why did Harry Kane win the Ballon d'Or 2026? Goals the name of the game for Bayern Munich, England starAfter a year-long wait, plus a little extra after a slight delay for London traffic, the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner was finally revealed at the Palladium Theatre in the English capital. Fittingly, Harry Kane became the first English player to…
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Harry Kane Beats Lamine Yamal And Kylian Mbappe To Win Ballon d'OrHarry Kane reached the pinnacle of individual football honours on Monday, becoming England’s first Ballon d’Or winner in a quarter of a century. The Bayern Munich striker emerged ahead of fellow contenders Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappe at…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions