Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?

Polymarket Culture › TV & streaming Closes Fri 11:59 PM ET · $230 today · $9.8K traded · $3.7K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

71%chance▲ 3

How the odds have moved

Yes: 51% on Oct 20, 71% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Yes	71%	▲ 3	67¢	75¢	$1.33	$9.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Luke Littler

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Luke Littler and Faith Millar share hilarious pillow fight Q&A vid revealing secrets including who FARTS the mostThe Sun · 34 h agoLUKE Littler and girlfriend Faith Millar have lifted the lid on their relationship in a hilarious pillow fight that revealed some VERY interesting secrets. The darts sensation, 19, and his partner, 20, climbed into bed for a cheeky Q&A…
Luke Littler shares honest verdict on German crowd after controversial European Championship incidentSPORTbible · 44 h agoLuke Littler has previously boycotted PDC tournaments in Germany over crowd trouble. Luke Littler has offered his honest thoughts on the German crowd after advancing into the quarter-finals of the European Championship with a 10-5 victory…
"May be on": Luke LIttler hints European Tour German boycott could end due to Dortmund crowddartsnews.com · 47 h agoDartsnews.com "May be on": Luke LIttler hints European Tour German boycott could end due to Dortmund crowd The brilliance of Aspinall Littler could end the boycott. Littler could end boycott European Championship Darts 2026: Results…
What time is Luke Littler playing against Krzysztof Ratajski on Sunday afternoon at the 2026 European Championship?dartsnews.com · 2 days agoCoverage is free-to-air on ITV4 in the UK, with ITVX streaming every session; international viewers can check local broadcasters or PDCTV availability. What time is Luke Littler playing against Krzysztof Ratajski on Sunday afternoon at the…
Luke Littler hopes to be well-rested for quarter-final clash in DortmundThe Independent · 2 days agoLuke Littler hopes an extra hour in bed will help fire him to the European Championship title. The 19-year-old is looking to complete the set of major tournament wins in less than three years by coming out on top in Dortmund on Sunday. And…
Luke Littler storms into European Championship quarter-finals with 114 average as Jonny Clayton survives Josh Rock scaredartsnews.com · 2 days agoLittler’s 114.47 average sets a high standard in the last eight, while the Netherlands’ quarter-final absence ends a run dating back to 2018. Luke Littler storms into European Championship quarter-finals with 114 average as Jonny Clayton…
Luke Littler makes European Darts Championship history with thumping win over old stable mate Nathan AspinallThe Sun · 2 days agoLUKE LITTLER continued his darts dominance over Nathan Aspinall – with the second-highest three-dart average in the 19-year history of the European Championship. The Nuke moved into the quarter-finals of the continental event for the first…
Huge pop star nets £500k deal to front new ad for Deliveroo as she follows stars including Luke Littler and Danny DyerThe Sun · 2 days agoIT’S officially cosy season and who better to have a girls’ night in with than Cheryl Tweedy? So it’s fitting that she’s bagged a whopper of a campaign deal with takeaway service Deliveroo. I can reveal the former Girls Aloud singer has…
Luke Littler backed to surpass David Beckham's wealth ahead of Netflix showDaily Mirror · 2 days agoLittler has been backed to surpass David Beckham's wealth(Image: Getty Images) Dennis Priestley believes Luke Littler has the chance to even outshine David Beckham’s wealth. Priestley is a double world champion and had the distinction of…
Luke Littler told he could earn more than billionaire David Beckham – but only if darts star starts ‘living like a monk’The Sun · 2 days agoLUKE LITTLER has been sensationally told he could end his darts career being “worth more than” billionaire David Beckham but there is one catch – he has to live like a MONK. Since he burst on to the professional scene in December 2023, The…
Dyn o Lanuwchllyn i herio Luke Littler ar Netflix am gyfle i ennill £501,000BBC Cymru Fyw · 3 days agoCafodd Pwyll Edwards ei ddewis o filoedd wnaeth ymgeisio Bydd Cymro o Lanuwchllyn yn un o 20 o chwaraewyr dartiau amatur sy'n cael cyfle i herio pencampwr y byd, Luke Littler, i geisio ennill £501,000. Bydd Pwyll Edwards, sy'n 34 oed, yn…
Luke Littler ignores any TV nastiness to focus energy on European ChampionshipThe Independent · 3 days agoLuke Littler insists his sole focus is on completing the set of major trophies by winning the European Championship. Littler is in Dortmund, trying to win the only big event he has yet to claim in a dominant first two years on the scene…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesOct 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$9.8K

Today$230

This week$4K

At stake$3.7K

In the news1 headlines today, 50 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

"Beat Luke Littler" is a live Netflix special scheduled for October 30, 2026, at 7:00 PM GMT (3:00 PM ET). On the show, amateur challengers each play a single leg of 501 against Luke Littler for a £501,000 prize. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any contestant beats Luke Littler on the live broadcast of "Beat Luke Littler". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A contestant beats Luke Littler if they win a leg of darts against him and the show officially declares the contestant the winner of that leg on its live broadcast. The leg is judged under the format the show uses, including any handicap, head start, or modified rules the show applies. Any person other than Luke Littler w

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions