Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?

Polymarket Finance › Earnings Closed, awaiting its result Closed Oct 21 · $1.9K traded · $1.2K at stake

The last odds before it closed

81%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 68% on Oct 20, 81% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Yes	81%	▲ 6	64¢	98¢	$1.02	$1.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Moody

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Def Leppard at Moody CenterKLBJ - Austin · 11 h agoDef Leppard at Moody Center - Apr 13th @ 7:00pm - Apr 13th @ 10:00pm
Trans-Siberian Orchestra at Moody Center – 12/9KLBJ - Austin · 11 h agoTrans-Siberian Orchestra is coming to Moody Center on Wednesday, December 9, 2026 for The Ghosts of Christmas Eve Tour! Tickets are on sale now – click here! All sales are subject to ticket availability. There are no age Trans-Siberian…
Moody Family YMCA Gets SpookyPeople Newspapers · 16 h agoAstronauts, Harry Potter, princesses, superheroes, and children of all ages enjoyed an afternoon of games, pumpkin decorating, a haunted house, and plenty of candy during the annual Boo Day at the Moody Family YMCA. The event has grown to…
Moody’s sees positive shift in Japan’s growth, resilience remains key testStevens Point · 10 h agoTOKYO, Oct 27 (Reuters) – Moody’s sees encouraging signs in Japan’s return to sustained growth and stable inflation, but a key test will be whether that resilience can withstand future shocks, the rating agency’s Japan sovereign analyst…
Florida Dems call for Uthmeier, Moody resignations, saying that funds were misappropriatedJust The News · 18 h agoThe Florida Senate Democratic Caucus is calling for the resignations of AG James Uthmeier and Sen. Ashley Moody, R-Fla. after a grand jury found $10 million in taxpayer funds was misappropriated. Uthmeier dismissed the report Thursday…
French bond risk eases after Moody's holds Aa3 rating with negative outlookBriefs Finance · 22 h agoFrance avoided a downgrade, and that took some pressure off its bonds. Moody's on Friday affirmed France at Aa3 with a negative outlook and said its baseline expectation is that "a deficit-reducing budget for 2027 will eventually be…
Euro: Moody’s reprieve fails to support EUR – MUFGFXStreet · 29 h ago"The euro has gained modestly at the start of the new week after falling to fresh year-to-date lows against the pound and yen. It is currently the worst performing G10 currency this month undermined both rising energy prices and heightened…
The 10 Best Navy Blue Nail Colors for a Chic, Moody ManicureELLE · 25 h agoA classic shade that feels polished, modern, and a little mysterious. While black and deep red tend to dominate in fall, navy brings understated confidence, plenty of sophistication, and a little rebellion. Short navy nails feel…
Danaos Corporation Announces Moody's Outlook Change to Positive and Upgrade of Senior Unsecured Notes to Ba1Stock Titan · 18 h agoCelestica Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Will Hold 2026 Investor and Analyst Day HeartBeam’s Heart Attack Assessment Technology Accepted into FDA’s Total Product Life Cycle Advisory Program (TAP) Quantum Cyber Invited…
Moody's Did Not Downgrade France And Peripheral Premiums Are Narrower, But Euro Struggles To Find TractionSeeking Alpha · 25 h agoMoody’s did not downgrade its assessment of French credit. French bonds have rallied and the peripheral premium has narrowed. Yet, euro has found little meaningful traction. Read more here. - Moody’s did not downgrade its assessment of…
Galveston's Moody Gardens Builds 2 Million Pounds of Ice Into a Caribbean ChristmasHoodline · 19 h agoMoody Gardens is preparing its ICE LAND: Caribbean Christmas attraction for another winter season in Galveston, and this time the frozen wonderland is trading snowy landmarks for tropical seas. The exhibit is taking shape as an icy holiday…
Angie Nixon keeps hammering on Hope Florida. What happened? What was Ashley Moody’s involvement?WLRN · 22 h agoFlorida’s Democratic U.S. Senate candidate, state Rep. Angie Nixon, is accusing Republican Sen. Ashley Moody of stealing from sick children. “Ashley Moody is a lying, cheating, thieving, scamming person who basically took $10 million from…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Settles onseekingalpha.com

Trading closedOct 21, 2026 9:00 AM ET

Traded$1.9K

This week$1.9K

At stake$1.2K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

As of market creation, Moody's is estimated to release earnings on October 21, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Moody's’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $4.29 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moody's reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $4.29 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Moody's releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Prices it is about

Moody's CorporationMCO · about the company479.44−1.03%

From 4Conservative Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions