# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
57.53Mmedian
20.00M160.00M
Median 57.53MMiddle half 48.75M – 68.54M
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Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by October 31?
The odds
96%143.5 billion
- 143.5 billion96%
- 144 billion86%▼ 1
- 144.5 billion56%▲ 11
- 145 billion38%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ 143 billion | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $264 | ||
| 143.5 billion | 96% | 92¢ | 100¢ | $158 | ||
| 144 billion | 86% | ▼ 1 | 75¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| 144.5 billion | 56% | ▲ 11 | 16¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | $201 |
| 145 billion | 38% | 3¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | $10 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MrBeast, Billion
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All internet & creators ›# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)
150.50Mmedian
140.00M210.00M
Median 150.50MMiddle half 145.13M – 160.51M
Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
85%Above 4.2M
1.90M5.10M
Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026)
23.68Mmedian
10.00M25.00M
Median 23.68M
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
124.92Mmedian
60.00M130.00M
Median 124.92MMiddle half 122.37M – 127.46M
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 19, 2026
43%Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video)
- Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video)43%▲ 38
- Dai Dai41%
- Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video)6%▼ 14
12 more
- Flower In A Hurricane [from GTAVI]1%▼ 1
- Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: nUsrYVxrDwI]1%▼ 6
- The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 19811%▼ 1
- Meek Mill - Wanna Be Free (feat. G Herbo) [Visualizer]1%▼ 1
- Blue Moon1%
- WTF GOIN1%
- Todo Lo Fue1%
- Tom MacDonald - "What America Is"1%
- Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 10: hLOheGDwD_0]1%
- Going On A Date - NSP1%
- Nicole Kidman1%
- Alma Rota1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.