The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Above 22M
99%
$1.01
1.8K
✓ Above 22.5M
99%
$1.01
3.0K
✓ Above 23M
99%
$1.01
1.0K
✓ Above 23.5M
99%
$1.01
4.0K
✓ Above 24M
99%
$1.01
1.0K
✓ Above 24.5M
99%
$1.01
1.0K
✓ Above 25M
99%
$1.01
1.0K
✓ Above 25.5M
99%
$1.01
2.2K
✓ Above 26M
99%
$1.01
1.7K
✓ Above 26.5M
99%
$1.01
1.1K
✓ Above 27M
99%
$1.01
1.5K
✓ Above 27.5M
99%
$1.01
1.5K
✓ Above 28M
99%
$1.01
3.6K
Above 28.5M
45%
19¢
42¢
$2.38
197
Above 29M
30%
▼ 8
24¢
31¢
$3.23
1.2K
Above 29.5M
30%
15¢
29¢
$3.45
13.00
Above 30M
24%
▼ 22
18¢
28¢
$3.57
30.00
Above 30.5M
24%
▲ 2
22¢
27¢
$3.70
Above 31M
23%
▲ 2
20¢
26¢
$3.85
120
Above 31.5M
22%
18¢
26¢
$3.85
Above 32M
12%
15¢
26¢
$3.85
50.00
Above 32.5M
12%
12¢
25¢
$4.00
117
Above 33M
12%
11¢
25¢
$4.00
157
Above 33.5M
12%
9¢
25¢
$4.00
422
Above 34M
5%
4¢
5¢
$20.00
1.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
How Argentina’s Folk Sounds Are Shaping a Generation’s Politics and National PrideRolling Stone · 28 h agoMilo J, Cazzu, and more stars are embracing music and traditions of the Argentine countryside and sharing their history with the world. The Argentine singer Soledad Pastorutti never anticipated that her debut at the Cosquín National…
These Recipes That Rock from Your Favorite Musicians Hit All the Right NotesPeople.com · 15 h agoFrom BTS’ Korean Instant Ramyeon to Bad Bunny’s Lobster Fried Rice, these recipes from your favorite musicians hit all the right notes. From sold-out shows to steaming bowls of noodles, BTS know how to bring the heat. The K-pop supergroup…
From Harry Styles to Bad Bunny: Why musicians are embracing residencies againThe Independent · 3 days agoHarry Styles' residency at Madison Square Garden has drawn tens of thousands of fans For Harry Styles' dedicated audience, it is the can’t-miss event of the year: Tens of thousands have descended on New York City’s Madison Square Garden…
Champagne Communist: AOC Campaign Blows Nearly $50K On Luxury HotelsZeroHedge · 29 h agoAuthored by Steve Watson via Modernity, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's re-election campaign has spent nearly $50,000 on luxury and upscale hotel stays across the country since April, according to a New York Post analysis of Federal…
As Western Comics Get Darker, This Singer Goes Another WayBleeding Fool · 2 days agoKorean singer-songwriter eldon kicked off his first-ever world tour Saturday, bringing his “Comic Book” series to Asia and the U.S. The tour kicked off following the release of “Finalé,” a surprise single released Thursday that serves as…
Eladio Carrión Turns 'Flashdance' Classic into Modern Day "Polaroid" MomentComplex · 2 days agoEladio Carrión has taken in back to the ‘80s with the release of his brand new single, "Polaroid" — check it out below. Produced by Carrión, alongside Hide Miyabi and AndrahPR, the up-tempo joint flips Michael Sembello's chart-topping 1983…
America could lose one of its favorite music genres over Latin musicLatiNation · 3 days agoCountry music vs Latin defines the current industry debate as music analysts confirm how digital platforms accelerate the expansion of urban rhythms. Diversified digital consumption propels Latino talents to break historical records across…
AOC’s ‘Tax the Rich’ Campaign Spent About $47K on 45 Luxury Hotel StaysThe Gateway Pundit · 3 days agoThe spending, reviewed by the New York Post, includes multiple charges at properties rated luxury, upscale, or upper-upscale while the far-left congresswoman continues to attack wealth and “the oligarchy.” The largest bill was $5,044 at…
Las Vegas reinvented the residency. Now music stars are taking it worldwide@KNPRnews · 3 days agoFor Harry Styles' dedicated audience, it is the can’t-miss event of the year: Tens of thousands have descended on New York City’s Madison Square Garden each night of his 30-date residency, rushing to catch the show before it concludes…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions