Williamson County Judge winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $20 today · $864 traded · $696 at stake · prices read 7 h ago

The odds

73%Heather Jefts

Heather Jefts73%▼ 2
Steven Snell27%

How the odds have moved

Heather Jefts: 65% on Oct 19, 73% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Heather Jefts	73%	▼ 2	68¢	77¢	$1.30	1.1K
Steven Snell	27%		22¢	31¢	$3.23	276

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Williamson County Judge, Heather Jefts, Steven Snell

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2026 Williamson County Judge Race: Democrat Heather Jefts aims to bring sustainability, collaboration to countyWilliamson County Sun · 10 days agoAfter eight years working on parks, infrastructure, economic development and environmental sustainability in Cedar Park, Heather Jefts wants to take that experience to Williamson County government. The Democrat is challenging Republican…
2026 Williamson County Judge Race: Republican Steve Snell to use regional approach to solve county issuesWilliamson County Sun · 10 days agoWilliamson County Judge Steve Snell says his 31 years in public education prepared him to address the county’s growing challenges, from infrastructure needs to public safety and regional partnerships. The Republican, who was appointed to…
2026 November Election Guide: Candidate Q&As, polling locations and moreWilliamson County Sun · 10 days agoElection day is fast approaching, and registered voters in Williamson County can cast ballots in local, state and federal races. Early voting runs from October 19-30. Polls are open daily, from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m., except for Sunday, October…
Early voting starts next week. Here's what you need to know to vote in Williamson CountyKUT Radio · 12 days agoIf you hadn't noticed from the countless roadside campaign signs, TV and online ads, and text messages spamming your phone — there's a pivotal midterm election on the horizon. Candidates in races for everything from local school boards to…

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onWilliamson County Elections Department

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$864 (1,366 contracts)

Today$20

This week$267

At stake$696

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Steven Snell wins the 2026 Williamson County Judge general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions