UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
Gaston Bolaños50%
Francis Marshall51%
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Flyweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
The odds
96%Joshua Van
- Joshua Van96%▲ 5
- Manel Kape2%▼ 1
- Alexandre Pantoja2%▲ 1
- Brandon Royval2%▼ 1
- Muhammad Mokaev1%
- Brandon Moreno1%
- Kai Kara-France1%
- Amir Albazi1%
- Tatsuro Taira<1%
How the odds have moved
Joshua Van: 92% on Oct 20, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Van | 96% | ▲ 5 | 96¢ | $1.04 | 103.7K | |
| Manel Kape | 2% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 41.1K | |
| Alexandre Pantoja | 2% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | $25.00 | 100.8K | |
| Brandon Royval | 2% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | $25.00 | 14.0K | |
| Muhammad Mokaev | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 22.7K | |
| Brandon Moreno | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 14.3K | ||
| Kai Kara-France | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 13.5K | ||
| Amir Albazi | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 15.5K | ||
| Tatsuro Taira | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 26.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Flyweight Title Holder, Joshua Van, Manel Kape
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.