Titled Tuesday Winner: Oct 20 (Oct 20, 2026)

Kalshi Sports › More sports Closed Tue 11:42 PM ET · $4.5K today · $8K traded · $1.7K at stake

Settled Hikaru NakamuraA day before, traders gave it 19%: an upset.

The last odds before it closed

99%Hikaru Nakamura
  • ✓ Hikaru Nakamura99%▲ 81
  • Denis Lazavik6%▲ 2
  • Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei6%▲ 4
  • Aleksei Sarana5%▲ 3
  • Arjun Erigaisi4%▲ 2
  • Maxime Vachier-Lagrave3%
  • Alireza Firouzja2%▼ 3
  • Artin Ashraf2%▼ 1
  • Sina Movahed1%▼ 2
  • Dmitry Andreikin1%▼ 2
  • Jan-Krzysztof Duda1%▼ 2
  • Le Tuan Minh1%▼ 1
59 more
  • Vincent Keymer1%▼ 1
  • Magnus Carlsen1%▼ 9
  • Sam Sevian—
  • Renato Terry Lujan—
  • Bogdan-Daniel Deac—
  • Oleksandr Bortnyk—
  • Matthias Bluebaum—
  • Yoseph Theolifus Taher—
  • Fabiano Caruana—
  • Wesley So—
  • Nihal Sarin—
  • Nikolas Theodorou—
  • Vladislav Artemiev—
  • Haik Martirosyan—
  • Pranav Venkatesh—
  • Dau Khuong Duy—
  • Alexander Grischuk—
  • Zhamsaran Tsydypov—
  • Hans Niemann—
  • Parham Maghsoodloo—
  • Ian Nepomniachtchi—
  • Nodirbek Abdusattorov—
  • Jeffery Xiong—
  • Faustino Oro—
  • Aravindh Chithambaram—
  • Aleksandr Shimanov—
  • Aleksandar Indjic—
  • Cristobal Henriquez Villagra—
  • Andrey Esipenko—
  • Javokhir Sindarov—
  • Pranesh Munirethinam—
  • Shamsiddin Vokhidov—
  • Frederik Svane—
  • Benjamin Bok—
  • Jose Martinez—
  • Rasmus Svane—
  • Jules Moussard—
  • Bardiya Daneshvar—
  • Levon Aronian—
  • Dincer Tasdogen—
  • Sergey Sklokin—
  • Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu—
  • Rudik Makarian—
  • Volen Dyulgerov—
  • Haowen Xue—
  • David Anton—
  • Nguyen Ngoc Truong Son—
  • Maxim Matlakov—
  • Artem Avanesian—
  • Nitzan Steinberg—
  • Akshay Borgaonkar—
  • Martyn Kravtsiv—
  • Christopher Woojin Yoo—
  • Aleksandr Usov—
  • Zarina Nurgaliyeva—
  • Liem Le—
  • Awonder Liang—
  • Tobias Koelle—
  • Shant Sargsyan—

How the odds have moved

Hikaru Nakamura: 19% on Oct 19, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Hikaru Nakamura 99% 8.0K
✗ Denis Lazavik 6% 212
✗ Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei 6% 8.00
✗ Aleksei Sarana 5% 25.00
✗ Arjun Erigaisi 4% 266
✗ Maxime Vachier-Lagrave 3% 429
✗ Alireza Firouzja 2% 633
✗ Artin Ashraf 2% 49.00
✗ Sina Movahed 1% 3.00
✗ Dmitry Andreikin 1% 3.00
✗ Jan-Krzysztof Duda 1% 3.00
✗ Le Tuan Minh 1% 6.00
✗ Vincent Keymer 1% 4.00
✗ Magnus Carlsen 1% 5.6K
✗ Sam Sevian —
✗ Renato Terry Lujan —
✗ Bogdan-Daniel Deac —
✗ Oleksandr Bortnyk —
✗ Matthias Bluebaum —
✗ Yoseph Theolifus Taher —
✗ Fabiano Caruana —
✗ Wesley So —
✗ Nihal Sarin —
✗ Nikolas Theodorou —
✗ Vladislav Artemiev —
✗ Haik Martirosyan —
✗ Pranav Venkatesh —
✗ Dau Khuong Duy —
✗ Alexander Grischuk —
✗ Zhamsaran Tsydypov —
✗ Hans Niemann —
✗ Parham Maghsoodloo —
✗ Ian Nepomniachtchi —
✗ Nodirbek Abdusattorov —
✗ Jeffery Xiong —
✗ Faustino Oro —
✗ Aravindh Chithambaram —
✗ Aleksandr Shimanov —
✗ Aleksandar Indjic —
✗ Cristobal Henriquez Villagra —
✗ Andrey Esipenko —
✗ Javokhir Sindarov —
✗ Pranesh Munirethinam —
✗ Shamsiddin Vokhidov —
✗ Frederik Svane —
✗ Benjamin Bok —
✗ Jose Martinez —
✗ Rasmus Svane —
✗ Jules Moussard —
✗ Bardiya Daneshvar —
✗ Levon Aronian —
✗ Dincer Tasdogen —
✗ Sergey Sklokin —
✗ Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu —
✗ Rudik Makarian —
✗ Volen Dyulgerov —
✗ Haowen Xue —
✗ David Anton —
✗ Nguyen Ngoc Truong Son —
✗ Maxim Matlakov —
✗ Artem Avanesian —
✗ Nitzan Steinberg —
✗ Akshay Borgaonkar —
✗ Martyn Kravtsiv —
✗ Christopher Woojin Yoo —
✗ Aleksandr Usov —
✗ Zarina Nurgaliyeva —
✗ Liem Le —
✗ Awonder Liang —
✗ Tobias Koelle —
✗ Shant Sargsyan —

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Titled, Hikaru Nakamura, Denis Lazavik

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions