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Titled Tuesday Winner: Oct 20 (Oct 20, 2026)
Settled Hikaru NakamuraA day before, traders gave it 19%: an upset.
The last odds before it closed
- ✓ Hikaru Nakamura99%▲ 81
- Denis Lazavik6%▲ 2
- Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei6%▲ 4
- Aleksei Sarana5%▲ 3
- Arjun Erigaisi4%▲ 2
- Maxime Vachier-Lagrave3%
- Alireza Firouzja2%▼ 3
- Artin Ashraf2%▼ 1
- Sina Movahed1%▼ 2
- Dmitry Andreikin1%▼ 2
- Jan-Krzysztof Duda1%▼ 2
- Le Tuan Minh1%▼ 1
59 more
- Vincent Keymer1%▼ 1
- Magnus Carlsen1%▼ 9
- Sam Sevian—
- Renato Terry Lujan—
- Bogdan-Daniel Deac—
- Oleksandr Bortnyk—
- Matthias Bluebaum—
- Yoseph Theolifus Taher—
- Fabiano Caruana—
- Wesley So—
- Nihal Sarin—
- Nikolas Theodorou—
- Vladislav Artemiev—
- Haik Martirosyan—
- Pranav Venkatesh—
- Dau Khuong Duy—
- Alexander Grischuk—
- Zhamsaran Tsydypov—
- Hans Niemann—
- Parham Maghsoodloo—
- Ian Nepomniachtchi—
- Nodirbek Abdusattorov—
- Jeffery Xiong—
- Faustino Oro—
- Aravindh Chithambaram—
- Aleksandr Shimanov—
- Aleksandar Indjic—
- Cristobal Henriquez Villagra—
- Andrey Esipenko—
- Javokhir Sindarov—
- Pranesh Munirethinam—
- Shamsiddin Vokhidov—
- Frederik Svane—
- Benjamin Bok—
- Jose Martinez—
- Rasmus Svane—
- Jules Moussard—
- Bardiya Daneshvar—
- Levon Aronian—
- Dincer Tasdogen—
- Sergey Sklokin—
- Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu—
- Rudik Makarian—
- Volen Dyulgerov—
- Haowen Xue—
- David Anton—
- Nguyen Ngoc Truong Son—
- Maxim Matlakov—
- Artem Avanesian—
- Nitzan Steinberg—
- Akshay Borgaonkar—
- Martyn Kravtsiv—
- Christopher Woojin Yoo—
- Aleksandr Usov—
- Zarina Nurgaliyeva—
- Liem Le—
- Awonder Liang—
- Tobias Koelle—
- Shant Sargsyan—
How the odds have moved
Hikaru Nakamura: 19% on Oct 19, 99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Hikaru Nakamura | 99% | 8.0K | ||||
| ✗ Denis Lazavik | 6% | 212 | ||||
| ✗ Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei | 6% | 8.00 | ||||
| ✗ Aleksei Sarana | 5% | 25.00 | ||||
| ✗ Arjun Erigaisi | 4% | 266 | ||||
| ✗ Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 3% | 429 | ||||
| ✗ Alireza Firouzja | 2% | 633 | ||||
| ✗ Artin Ashraf | 2% | 49.00 | ||||
| ✗ Sina Movahed | 1% | 3.00 | ||||
| ✗ Dmitry Andreikin | 1% | 3.00 | ||||
| ✗ Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 1% | 3.00 | ||||
| ✗ Le Tuan Minh | 1% | 6.00 | ||||
| ✗ Vincent Keymer | 1% | 4.00 | ||||
| ✗ Magnus Carlsen | 1% | 5.6K | ||||
| ✗ Sam Sevian | — | |||||
| ✗ Renato Terry Lujan | — | |||||
| ✗ Bogdan-Daniel Deac | — | |||||
| ✗ Oleksandr Bortnyk | — | |||||
| ✗ Matthias Bluebaum | — | |||||
| ✗ Yoseph Theolifus Taher | — | |||||
| ✗ Fabiano Caruana | — | |||||
| ✗ Wesley So | — | |||||
| ✗ Nihal Sarin | — | |||||
| ✗ Nikolas Theodorou | — | |||||
| ✗ Vladislav Artemiev | — | |||||
| ✗ Haik Martirosyan | — | |||||
| ✗ Pranav Venkatesh | — | |||||
| ✗ Dau Khuong Duy | — | |||||
| ✗ Alexander Grischuk | — | |||||
| ✗ Zhamsaran Tsydypov | — | |||||
| ✗ Hans Niemann | — | |||||
| ✗ Parham Maghsoodloo | — | |||||
| ✗ Ian Nepomniachtchi | — | |||||
| ✗ Nodirbek Abdusattorov | — | |||||
| ✗ Jeffery Xiong | — | |||||
| ✗ Faustino Oro | — | |||||
| ✗ Aravindh Chithambaram | — | |||||
| ✗ Aleksandr Shimanov | — | |||||
| ✗ Aleksandar Indjic | — | |||||
| ✗ Cristobal Henriquez Villagra | — | |||||
| ✗ Andrey Esipenko | — | |||||
| ✗ Javokhir Sindarov | — | |||||
| ✗ Pranesh Munirethinam | — | |||||
| ✗ Shamsiddin Vokhidov | — | |||||
| ✗ Frederik Svane | — | |||||
| ✗ Benjamin Bok | — | |||||
| ✗ Jose Martinez | — | |||||
| ✗ Rasmus Svane | — | |||||
| ✗ Jules Moussard | — | |||||
| ✗ Bardiya Daneshvar | — | |||||
| ✗ Levon Aronian | — | |||||
| ✗ Dincer Tasdogen | — | |||||
| ✗ Sergey Sklokin | — | |||||
| ✗ Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu | — | |||||
| ✗ Rudik Makarian | — | |||||
| ✗ Volen Dyulgerov | — | |||||
| ✗ Haowen Xue | — | |||||
| ✗ David Anton | — | |||||
| ✗ Nguyen Ngoc Truong Son | — | |||||
| ✗ Maxim Matlakov | — | |||||
| ✗ Artem Avanesian | — | |||||
| ✗ Nitzan Steinberg | — | |||||
| ✗ Akshay Borgaonkar | — | |||||
| ✗ Martyn Kravtsiv | — | |||||
| ✗ Christopher Woojin Yoo | — | |||||
| ✗ Aleksandr Usov | — | |||||
| ✗ Zarina Nurgaliyeva | — | |||||
| ✗ Liem Le | — | |||||
| ✗ Awonder Liang | — | |||||
| ✗ Tobias Koelle | — | |||||
| ✗ Shant Sargsyan | — |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Titled, Hikaru Nakamura, Denis Lazavik
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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