Nevada State Treasurer winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $230 traded · $200 at stake · prices read 8 h ago

The odds

60%Tya Mathis-Coleman

Tya Mathis-Coleman60%▼ 1
Drew Johnson41%

How the odds have moved

Tya Mathis-Coleman: 60% on Oct 19, 60% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Tya Mathis-Coleman	60%	▼ 1	55¢	64¢	$1.56	200
Drew Johnson	41%		36¢	45¢	$2.22	275

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Nevada State Treasurer, Tya Mathis-Coleman, Drew Johnson

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Know your candidate: Nevada Treasury Secretary Drew Johnson@KOLO8 · 7 days agoRENO, Nev. (KOLO) - Drew Johnson is running to be Nevada’s next treasurer, a race he acknowledged is often less visible than others on the ballot. Johnson said he gained his inspiration through his mother, who worked two jobs, one at…
Benitez-Thompson calls out Flippo for late finance filings2 News Nevada · 5 days agoShe pledges to bring changes to congress to fight corruption. Another federal election complaint has been filed against Republican Congressional District 2 candidate David Flippo. As of Wednesday, he still has not submitted his financial…
Nevada treasurer: Mathis-Coleman offers experience and continuityLas Vegas Sun · 13 days agoLas Vegas Sun Nevada treasurer: Mathis-Coleman offers experience and continuity Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2026 | 2 a.m. Under the stewardship of outgoing Treasurer Zach Conine, Nevada’s next treasurer will inherit a state whose financial…
2026 General Election: Nevada State TreasurerNevada Appeal · 13 days agoPublic policy analyst and government watchdog; Senior Fellow at the Center for Healthcare Affordability; Senior Fellow at the National Center for Public Policy Research; columnist at Townhall and Newsmax; small-business owner. The State…
Our picks: The Sun offers its choices for every race on your Southern Nevada ballotLas Vegas Sun · 13 days agoWednesday, Oct. 14, 2026 | 2 a.m. This is the complete list of the Sun's recommendations for races run in Southern Nevada. U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES Governor – Aaron Ford (D) Lieutenant Governor – Sandra Jauregui (D) Attorney General –…
Video: Nevada treasurer candidates focus on savings at Carson City forumNevada Appeal · 13 days agoNevada state treasurer candidates Drew Johnson and Tya Mathis-Coleman offered differing views on affordability and the future of the state’s college scholarship program during Monday’s candidate forum at the Brewery Arts Center. Johnson, a…

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onNevada Secretary of State Elections Division, Washoe County Registrar of Voters

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$230 (475 contracts)

This week$4

At stake$200

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Drew Johnson wins the 2026 Nevada State Treasurer election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions