Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1.12Bmedian
$0.0000$2.5B
Median $1.12BMiddle half $735.48M – $1.97B
Install
How low will NEAR get in 2026?
The odds
45%Below $1.50
- Falls to $1.5045%
- Falls to $122%
- Falls to $0.500012%
How the odds have moved
Falls to $0.5000: 13% on Oct 20, 12% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 9 PM ETFalls to $0.5000: 11% → 18%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below $0.50 | 12% | ▼ 6 | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.4K | |
| Below $1.00 | 22% | 22¢ | $4.55 | 8.6K | ||
| Below $1.50 | 45% | 45¢ | $2.22 | 8.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NEAR
Search ›-
A strong cyclone is nearing India’s eastern coastA potentially dangerous cyclone is rapidly intensifying in the Bay of Bengal and is expected to strike eastern India as soon as late Tuesday into early Wednesday local time. The storm, Cyclone Arnab, is growing into what the India… -
Teen arrested in shooting near Florida A&MCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Teen arrested in shooting… -
OCC encourages community banks to issue stablecoins as federal deadline nearsThe U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) on Monday called on community banks to enter the stablecoin market, including by applying for permission to issue their own dollar-pegged tokens. The regulator said it wants… -
Bitcoin holds near $80,000 as oil retreats and the Fed decision loomsBitcoin was little changed near $80,400 since midnight UTC while the DeFi index was the only CoinDesk index to gain, with the Fed due to decide on Wednesday. S&P 500 index futures rose around 0.3% after Friday’s selloff in U.S. stocks… -
Oil slips from near six-months highs despite supply concernsOil prices fell on Monday after surging to near six-month highs late last week, although ongoing attacks on Saudi Arabia kept supply concerns in focus. US crude futures were down $2.14, or 2.07%, at $101.13 per barrel by 0232 GMT. Brent… -
Trump campaigns in Mississippi as Election Day nearsFox News correspondent Mark Meredith reports on President Donald Trump's campaign stop in Mississippi ahead of the 2026 midterm elections on 'Special Report.' ... Trump campaigns in Mississippi as Election Day nears Fox News correspondent… -
P.J. Locke, Marist Liufau nearing return for CowboysDallas Cowboys S P.J. Locke and LB Marist Liufau did not play in Week 7, and they remain on the reserve/injured - designated to return list. - P.J. Locke, Marist Liufau nearing return for Cowboys Cowboys Announce Final Decisions on 2… -
Memory chip boom nears cyclical peak as Chinese competition grows: CIOJason Hsu, Chairman and CIO of Rayliant Global Advisors, discusses how chipmakers may be nearing a cyclical peak. He warns that new, lower-cost Chinese competitors could eventually create a supply glut and sharp price declines. Memory chip… -
80 injured after bus plunges down embankment near BarcelonaAl Jazeera 80 injured after bus plunges down embankment near Barcelona Eighty people were injured after a bus collided with a car and plunged down an embankment near Barcelona. Four people were seriously injured, but no fatalities were… -
Josh Brown says Meta is near crucial levels. How he's trading the tech giantMeta Platforms (META) runs Facebook and Instagram. Cloudflare (NET) runs a global network and sells security and developer tools on top of it. Each came with a level for traders and a level for ... -
Angel Reese, Dream Face Elimination as Valkyries Near Historic TitleOct 26, 2026 at 11:58 PM EDT The Golden State Valkyries are one victory away from making WNBA history, and Angel Reese and the Atlanta Dream are running out of opportunities to stop them. Golden State defeated Atlanta 64-55 on Monday night… -
Apple confirms some reports of iPhone Duo cracking near the seamCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Some iPhone Duo…
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Nov 14, 2026even chance by
- October 31, 202614%▼ 5
- November 30, 202691%▼ 5
- December 31, 202696%▼ 1
4 more
- March 31, 202797%▼ 2
- June 30, 202798%▼ 1
- September 30, 202799%
- December 31, 202799%
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$237.84Mmedian
$0.0000$4B
Median $237.84MMiddle half $170.27M – $330.77M
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1.19Bmedian
$0.0000$6B
Median $1.19BMiddle half $753.13M – $2.06B
Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
12%$5M
$0.0000$3B
Axis Robotics FDV above ___ one day after launch?
>99%$50M
$0.0000$350M
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions