UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)
Gaston Bolaños50%
Francis Marshall51%
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Fighters to compete in MVP MMA before 2028
The odds
58%Amanda Serrano
- Amanda Serrano58%
- Jake Paul46%
- Muhammad Mokaev41%▼ 1
- Michael Page31%
- Gervonta Davis14%
- Conor McGregor14%▲ 1
- Tyson Fury14%▲ 1
- Floyd Mayweather Jr.13%
- Ilia Topuria13%
- Paulo Costa12%▲ 1
- Jennifer Maia12%▲ 1
- Lyman Good12%▲ 1
12 more
- Saygid Izagakhmaev12%▲ 1
- Bruno Lopes12%▲ 1
- Qileng Aori12%▲ 1
- Tony Ferguson12%▲ 1
- Michael Chandler10%▲ 1
- Kamaru Usman10%▲ 1
- Charles Oliveira10%▲ 1
- Anthony Joshua10%▲ 1
- Canelo Alvarez10%▲ 1
- Oleksandr Usyk10%▲ 1
- Ryan Garcia10%▲ 1
- Sean O'Malley10%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Amanda Serrano: 55% on Oct 20, 58% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 11 PM ETAmanda Serrano: 50% → 58%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Serrano | 58% | 35¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 2.2K | |
| Jake Paul | 46% | 33¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 1.2K | |
| Muhammad Mokaev | 41% | ▼ 1 | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 3.1K |
| Michael Page | 31% | 20¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.5K | |
| Gervonta Davis | 14% | 14¢ | $7.14 | 721 | ||
| Conor McGregor | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 423 |
| Tyson Fury | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 175 |
| Floyd Mayweather Jr. | 13% | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 23.00 | |
| Ilia Topuria | 13% | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 425 | |
| Paulo Costa | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| Jennifer Maia | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| Lyman Good | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| Saygid Izagakhmaev | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| Bruno Lopes | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| Qileng Aori | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| Tony Ferguson | 12% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 13.00 |
| Michael Chandler | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 5.00 |
| Kamaru Usman | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Charles Oliveira | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Anthony Joshua | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Canelo Alvarez | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Oleksandr Usyk | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Ryan Garcia | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 8.00 |
| Sean O'Malley | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 305 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MVP, MVP MMA, Fighters
Search ›-
Francis Ngannou is reportedly the only star who can convince Netflix to stage another MVP MMA eventMVP’s big mixed martial arts card on Netflix this past May appears to have been a one-and-done. Former UFC heavyweight champion Francis Ngannou was among the biggest names on the lineup at Inglewood’s Intuit Dome. ‘The Predator’s’ knockout… -
Draymond Green sounds alarm on Luka Dončić’s MVP chancesLuka Dončić looked like an NBA MVP candidate during the Los Angeles Lakers’ 127-105 win over the Golden State Warriors. But looks can be deceiving, or at least tiresome over a prolonged period of time. This is why Warriors star forward… -
Jon Jones would “smoke” Francis Ngannou, per BKB Biloxi fighter with Jones tiesHome » MMA News » Jon Jones » Jon Jones would “smoke” Francis Ngannou, per BKB Biloxi fighter… Jon Jones is retired from combat sports at this juncture, but a bare-knuckle boxing warrior who fought for the Ultimate Fighting Championship… -
Laquon Treadwell Wins Week 7 Community MVP for Hosting Breast Cancer SurvivorsThe NFL Players Association has recognized Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Laquon Treadwell for his community work, naming him the Week 7 Community MVP on Friday. Treadwell earned the honor after hosting a Breast Cancer Awareness Month… -
Thunder star and NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's record 20-point streak ends at 141 gamesBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Shai… -
Tested: Mossberg MVP Precision RifleMossberg attaches a railed top cover, secured via four screws to the MVP’s receiver bridge, providing 7" of Picatinny rail for mounting optics. Its legs rest firmly on the lower portion of the chassis, making for a secure setup. The… -
UFC champion weighs in on Sean Strickland’s fighter pay issuesHome » MMA News » Joshua Van » UFC champion weighs in on Sean Strickland’s fighter pay… UFC champion Joshua Van has given his thoughts on Sean Strickland’s current issues with the promotion regarding his pay. Over the course of the last… -
Camille Spink, Nikoli Blackman Win SwimSwam’s CSL Match 6 MVPsSpink sits at #8 all-time in both the 50 and 100 freestyles now and is one of three active NCAA swimmers to be sub-46 in the 100 free. She broke the previous record of a 4:30.53 set by Jillian Cox of Texas back in February at the 2026 SEC… -
One and done? Netflix might drop MVP MMA after corporate shakeupRonda Rousey vs. Gina Carano was the first live MMA event to ever feature on Netflix. It may also be the last for quite some time. Jake Paul and Most Valuable Promotions (MVP) intended to disrupt the MMA world with their collaboration with… -
Referee Accidentally Wrecks MMA Fighter’s Knee During KO StoppageOct 24, 2026 | 3:50 AM EDT While his MMA debut at Top FC’s event in March ended in disastrous first-round loss to Sung Tae Choi, Ji Young Kim bounced back by stopping Jun Woo Kim at the promotion’s next event. However, his celebration was… -
Jorge Masvidal Wants Bigger UFC Revenue Share, Credits Support For Rising FightersThe former BMF champion contrasts headliner compensation with boxing while acknowledging that Paramount has changed the business. Speaking with Mystic Zach on Double Coverage on October 23, Jorge Masvidal separated guaranteed pay from… -
Forget Gibbs-White, 13 duel-winning Forest star was Oliver Glasner’s MVP in draw vs IpswichMorgan Gibbs-White was given the man of the match award for his showing as Nottingham Forest drew 1-1 with Ipswich Town, but Oliver Glasner had a player who was even better. Despite another disappointing result for Nottingham Forest, there…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions