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NL MVP Winner (2026 season)
The odds
- Pete Crow-Armstrong99%
- Shohei Ohtani<1%
- Juan Soto<1%
- Ronald Acuña Jr.<1%
- Fernando Tatis Jr.<1%
- Francisco Lindor<1%
- Corbin Carroll<1%
- Elly De La Cruz<1%
- Bryce Harper<1%
- Kyle Schwarber<1%
- Rafael Devers<1%
- Manny Machado<1%
41 more
- Ketel Marte<1%
- Mookie Betts<1%
- Geraldo Perdomo<1%
- Trea Turner<1%
- Paul Skenes<1%
- Jackson Merrill<1%
- Jackson Chourio<1%
- Alex Bregman<1%
- Freddie Freeman<1%
- Bo Bichette<1%
- Matt Olson<1%
- Will Smith<1%
- James Wood<1%
- Teoscar Hernández<1%
- Max Muncy<1%
- Masyn Winn<1%
- Michael Harris II<1%
- Brice Turang<1%
- Oneil Cruz<1%
- Ozzie Albies<1%
- Hunter Goodman<1%
- Michael Busch<1%
- Willy Adames<1%
- Ian Happ<1%
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto<1%
- Matt Chapman<1%
- Nolan Arenado<1%
- Marcus Semien<1%
- Christian Yelich<1%
- Luis Robert Jr.<1%
- Xander Bogaerts<1%
- Nick Castellanos<1%
- Dansby Swanson<1%
- Caleb Durbin<1%
- Kyle Tucker<1%
- Sal Frelick<1%
- Tie/Co-Winners<1%
- Mickey Moniak<1%
- Drake Baldwin<1%
- Nico Hoerner<1%
- Jordan Walker<1%
How the odds have moved
Pete Crow-Armstrong: 98% on Oct 20, 99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 99% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.5M | ||
| Shohei Ohtani | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.4M | ||
| Juan Soto | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 162.4K | ||
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 66.6K | ||
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 81.3K | ||
| Francisco Lindor | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.5K | ||
| Corbin Carroll | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 51.8K | ||
| Elly De La Cruz | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 101.8K | ||
| Bryce Harper | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 46.7K | ||
| Kyle Schwarber | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 120.5K | ||
| Rafael Devers | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.9K | ||
| Manny Machado | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 550 | ||
| Ketel Marte | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 6.1K | ||
| Mookie Betts | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.5K | ||
| Geraldo Perdomo | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 12.6K | ||
| Trea Turner | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 76.00 | ||
| Paul Skenes | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 58.0K | ||
| Jackson Merrill | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 9.6K | ||
| Jackson Chourio | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 43.7K | ||
| Alex Bregman | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 14.4K | ||
| Freddie Freeman | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 7.2K | ||
| Bo Bichette | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.2K | ||
| Matt Olson | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 203.0K | ||
| Will Smith | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.8K | ||
| James Wood | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 156.8K | ||
| Teoscar Hernández | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 167 | ||
| Max Muncy | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 7.5K | ||
| Masyn Winn | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.00 | ||
| Michael Harris II | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 47.6K | ||
| Brice Turang | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 101.4K | ||
| Oneil Cruz | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 26.1K | ||
| Ozzie Albies | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 752 | ||
| Hunter Goodman | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 509 | ||
| Michael Busch | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 7.4K | ||
| Willy Adames | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.1K | ||
| Ian Happ | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.4K | ||
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.8K | ||
| Matt Chapman | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.00 | ||
| Nolan Arenado | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 136 | ||
| Marcus Semien | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.00 | ||
| Christian Yelich | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.3K | ||
| Luis Robert Jr. | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 19.3K | ||
| Xander Bogaerts | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 11.00 | ||
| Nick Castellanos | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 375 | ||
| Dansby Swanson | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 557 | ||
| Caleb Durbin | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.00 | ||
| Kyle Tucker | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 16.9K | ||
| Sal Frelick | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 468 | ||
| Tie/Co-Winners | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 177.2K | ||
| Mickey Moniak | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 674 | ||
| Drake Baldwin | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 10.3K | ||
| Nico Hoerner | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.9K | ||
| Jordan Walker | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 86.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MVP, NL MVP, Pete Crow-Armstrong
Search ›-
LA Times sportswriter has unhinged Shohei Ohtani take after Dodgers fall short of World SeriesLos Angeles Dodgers' manager Dave Roberts addressed his team falling short of a three-peat and discussed Shohei Ohtani’s performance in Game 4 of the NLCS against the Milwaukee Brewers. Well, this might be the most insane piece of "advice"… - Pete Crow-Armstrong, Alex Bregman and Cubs' Team Defense Win Fielding Bible AwardsThe first major awards honoring the best performers of 2026 were handed out Thursday afternoon. The Cubs, predictably, racked up substantial hardware.
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“It Could Compromise”: Dodgers Warned Shohei Ohtani’s Obsession With Greatness Could BackfireOct 23, 2026 | 9:40 PM EDT Shohei Ohtani is baseball’s unicorn. His two-way abilities set him apart from the rest, so much so that MLB introduced a separate rule for him. But great players come with greater challenges to manage, and… -
Shohei Ohtani 1-of-1 Autograph MLB Logoman Patch Card Sells for $3.2M, Sets Dodgers RecordA one-of-one Topps card autographed by Shohei Ohtani recently sold for a record-breaking price. Ohtani's Topps ultra-premium Dynasty Black card featuring a game-worn MLB Logoman patch sold for $3.24 million, becoming the most expensive Los… -
Dodgers Urged To Trade Shohei Ohtani After Injury SetbackThe Los Angeles Dodgers entered the season hoping to make history with a third consecutive World Series championship. Instead, their pursuit ended with a sweep by the Milwaukee Brewers in the National League Championship Series, raising… -
Dodgers must confront an uncomfortable truth about Shohei OhtaniShohei Ohtani couldn’t make it through an entire season as a two-way player as a 32-year-old. Chances are, he won’t be able to do it next season as a 33-year-old. Which is why Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman’s… -
Brewers’ Misiorowski breaks World Series pitching record: ‘So much adrenaline’“I had so much adrenaline built up,” he said. He threw a pitch the likes of which had never been seen in the Fall Classic. The Miz broke the World Series velocity record with his very first delivery, a 103.5 mph fastball to the Tampa Bay… -
Brewers' Jacob Misiorowski sets World Series velocity record on his first pitchJacob Misiorowski broke the record for fastest World Series pitch with the very first offering of this year's Fall Classic, a 103.5 mph fastball from the Milwaukee Brewers' fireballer to the Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Díaz on Friday night… -
Draymond Green sounds alarm on Luka Dončić’s MVP chancesLuka Dončić looked like an NBA MVP candidate during the Los Angeles Lakers’ 127-105 win over the Golden State Warriors. But looks can be deceiving, or at least tiresome over a prolonged period of time. This is why Warriors star forward… -
Brewers’ Jacob Misiorowski sets record for fastest World Series pitch on his first delivery“I had so much adrenaline built up,” he said. He threw a pitch the likes of which had never been seen in the Fall Classic. The Miz broke the World Series velocity record with his very first delivery, a 103.5 mph fastball to the Tampa Bay… -
Brewers Ace Jacob Misiorowski Breaks World Series Record For Fastest PitchJacob Misiorowski broke the record for fastest World Series pitch with the very first offering of this year's Fall Classic, a 103.5 mph fastball from the Milwaukee Brewers' fireballer to the Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Diaz on Friday night… -
Analyst drops Dodgers Shohei Ohtani left field idea after injury-plagued seasonOne MLB analyst had an interesting idea for how the Los Angeles Dodgers could deal with Shohei Ohtani's injuries. Now, the Dodgers have gotten some interesting advice about how they could potentially use Ohtani next season in order to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.