Alaska at large House General Election: voter turnout
286,667median
240,000330,000
Median 286,667
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Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnout
The odds
207,500median
160,000330,000
Median 207,500Middle half 190,667 – 217,600
How the odds have moved
Median: 192,500 on Oct 19, 207,500 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 170K | 93% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 742 |
| Above 180K | 89% | ▼ 1 | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 240 |
| Above 190K | 76% | ▼ 6 | 73¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 561 |
| Above 200K | 68% | ▲ 14 | 57¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 442 |
| Above 210K | 44% | ▼ 2 | 40¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 233 |
| Above 220K | 19% | 20¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 6.00 | |
| Above 230K | 15% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 286 |
| Above 240K | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 200 | |
| Above 250K | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.2K | |
| Above 260K | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| Above 270K | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 200 | ||
| Above 280K | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 186 | ||
| Above 300K | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 100 | ||
| Above 310K | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| Above 320K | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wyoming Senate General
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Arkansas 04 House General Election: voter turnout
220,857median
150,000370,000
Median 220,857Middle half 192,286 – 249,429
Arizona 01 House General Election: voter turnout
358,421median
320,000420,000
Median 358,421Middle half 345,263 – 390,667
Arizona 02 House General Election: voter turnout
333,553median
160,000500,000
Median 333,553Middle half 297,368 – 369,737
Arizona 04 House General Election: voter turnout
269,213median
120,000480,000
Median 269,213Middle half 229,888 – 308,539
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions