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California 48 House General Election: voter turnout
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 226,200 on Oct 20, 226,200 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 186K | 73% | 78¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 600 | |
| Above 195K | 65% | 70¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 300 | |
| Above 200K | 64% | 64¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 900 | |
| Above 210K | 56% | 53¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 400 | |
| Above 215K | 56% | 48¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 145 | |
| Above 220K | 55% | 43¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 34.00 | |
| Above 225K | 52% | 38¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 21.00 | |
| Above 240K | 27% | 25¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 200 | |
| Above 276K | 12% | 3¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 63.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California House General
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions