Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
3.67median
-123
Median 3.67
Install
Nebraska Senate margin of victory (2026)
The odds
3.38median
-124
Median 3.38
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.92 on Oct 20, 3.38 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricketts, 1+ pts | 69% | ▼ 5 | 65¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 3.0K |
| Ricketts, 3+ pts | 53% | ▼ 1 | 50¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 14.4K |
| Ricketts, 6+ pts | 33% | ▼ 2 | 29¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 5.4K |
| Ricketts, 9+ pts | 20% | ▼ 2 | 17¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 4.5K |
| Ricketts, 12+ pts | 9% | 6¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 571 | |
| Ricketts, 15+ pts | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $13.89 | 18.00 | |
| Ricketts, 18+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | 94.00 | |
| Ricketts, 21+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nebraska Senate
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Nebraska Senate race: Independent Dan Osborn backed by Democrats, NRSC claimsEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Trump Lashes Out At Fox News For ‘Doing Little To Help’ Republican CandidatesPresident Donald Trump lashed out at Fox News on Sunday, accusing the network of airing too many interviews with Democratic candidates and “doing little to help” Republicans in the upcoming midterm elections—his latest attack on Fox News… -
How Is This Legal? Pollster Boosting Dem in Mississippi Admits It Fabricated Most Election SurveysA polling organization admitted to fabricating most of its polling Wednesday after suggesting that Democratic Mississippi Senate nominee Scott Colom was only four points behind his Republican opponent. Wedgewood Polls said in a statement… -
Dan Osborn's 'AI Companies Can’t Buy Me' Boast Just Imploded SpectacularlyIt looks like Dan Osborn – the "independent" Nebraska Senate candidate who looks, acts, talks, and fundraises like a Democrat – has a problem telling the truth about more than just his party affiliation, at least according to a new report… -
Rep. Don Bacon blasts Dan Osborn over ‘anti-Jewish’ adBacon, a moderate Nebraska Republican: ‘I reject the anti-Jewish and anti-Israel messaging. [Nebraska] is better than this’ Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE) talks with reporters in the Capitol Visitor Center on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Rep. Don… - Mallory McMorrow blames fake poll for disrupting her Senate campaignA made-up polling firm is facing backlash for releasing imaginary numbers, including for some of Michigan’s key races. In June, Wedgewood Polls released a survey that showed state Sen. Mallory McMorrow (D-Royal Oak) down to single-digit…
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Youth voting leader rips Trump’s failed promises: Voters ‘were used’Donald Trump’s 2024 coalition appears to be disintegrating as he retreats to solid red districts in the critical final days before the midterms. Santiago Mayer, Executive Director of Voters of Tomorrow, joins The Weeknight to break it… -
Democratic senator torches GOP failure to rein in Trump and MuskDem senator torches GOP FAILURE to rein in Trump and Musk MS NOW Democratic senator torches GOP failure to rein in Trump and Musk Youth voting leader rips Trump’s failed promises: Voters ‘were used’ Trump’s coziness with Putin criticized… -
Fischer highlights child care, business support during Columbus visitElon Musk said Tuesday that a merger of his two companies SpaceX and Tesla would âbe "a good idea" and that they had formed special committees to discuss a union, sending shares of the space and technology company up 8% in extended… -
Trump’s coziness with Putin criticized by ex-White House official: ‘Victim blaming’ mentalityDonald Trump has just confirmed that he's open to meeting with Russia's Vladimir Putin and China's Xi Jinping to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine, under terms that would likely be favorable to Putin. Nayyera Haq, former White House… -
Sen. Jon Ossoff warns against ‘complacency’ in final stretch to midterms: ‘Take nothing for granted’With just 15 days until midterm election night, Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff joins The Weeknight to explain how he’s targeting voters’ concerns about the cost of living and inflation. Roy Cooper rips GOP-backed mail ballot restrictions: ‘People… -
Osborn’s independence continues to be scrutinized in Nebraska Senate raceHe must prove his swing vote to other senators if elected, says UNL political science professor Registered nonpartisan U.S. Senate candidate Dan Osborn leaves a podium in Lincoln on June 11, 2026. (Juan Salinas II/Nebraska Examiner)…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions