Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
3.30median
-123
Median 3.30
Install
Kansas Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
35%Hamilton, 1+ pts
-111
How the odds have moved
Hamilton, 1+ pts: 33% on Oct 19, 35% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton, 1+ pts | 35% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 2.1K |
| Hamilton, 3+ pts | 22% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 3.9K |
| Hamilton, 5+ pts | 14% | ▲ 2 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 260 |
| Hamilton, 7+ pts | 7% | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.53 | 283 | |
| Hamilton, 9+ pts | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | 2.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kansas Senate
Search ›-
The Church Abuse Allegations Shaking Kansas Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 12:43 PM EDT Allegations that the Democratic candidate failed to effectively investigate alleged sexual assaults targeting children more than 20 years ago have become a focal point in the closing weeks of the Kansas Senate… -
Kansas Senate candidates debate trans athletes issue, answer how many genders there areFox News Kansas Senate candidates debate trans athletes issue, answer how many genders there are Kansas Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton answered questions on transgender athletes in women's sports… -
Marshall, Hamilton clash in heated Kansas Senate debateCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Marshall, Hamilton… -
Kansas Senate rivals distance themselves from party leaders in fiery debateAffordability concerns dominate the Kansas Senate race as Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton releases a video welcoming President Donald Trump to the state. Fox Business contributor Lou Basenese analyzes whether an economic pitch can win… -
As Kansas Senate race tightens, Marshall argues opponent is just another Democrat, while Hamilton says he's "independent-minded"October 22, 2026 / 12:05 AM EDT / CBS News The candidates in Kansas' surprisingly competitive Senate race faced off in a debate Wednesday evening, as Republicans fight to head off the possibility of their first loss in a Kansas Senate… -
Voters sound off before Kansas Senate debate between Roger Marshall and Adam HamiltonThe Kansas Senate race is becoming increasingly competitive between incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton. They will go head-to-head on the debate stage Wednesday. CBS News reporter Katrina Kaufman… -
Trump pushback, Biden 'disaster' and gender surprise: 5 key moments from Kansas Senate debateNate Foy reports from Park City, Kansas, where President Donald Trump campaigns for Sen. Roger Marshall in a crucial bid to retain Republican control. The hour-long showdown came less than two weeks before Election Day as Marshall seeks a… -
Fights over loyalty to America, party and Trump dominate Michigan and Kansas Senate debatesMichigan and Kansas held some of the final major Senate debates of the 2026 midterm elections on Wednesday night. And they were a study in contrasts. The Michigan Senate debate between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike… -
Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton face off in fiery final Kansas Senate debateRepublican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton went head to head in a contentious debate Wednesday night as polls show a toss-up in ruby-red Kansas with less than two weeks until Election Day. Marshall and Hamilton traded… -
Kansas Senate candidates clash on Trump agenda and Iran warWBUR "Control of the Senate goes through Kansas," said Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in the final Kansas Senate debate Wednesday night, hosted by Nexstar Media. Kansas News Service's Grace Hillsjoins us. This segment aired on October 22… -
Kansas Senate Shock Looms As Democrat Presses Historic RunKansas has spent more than nine decades without sending a Democrat to the US Senate. That streak is suddenly in jeopardy. In a state that Donald Trump carried by 16 points just two years ago, Republicans are being forced to defend a seat… -
Farmers, Health Care and Highways: 5 Takeaways from the Kansas Senate DebateOnce upon a time, the Kansas Senate race was expected to be a sleepy affair, one where Senator Roger Marshall, a first-term Republican, would cruise to re-election. Then came Adam Hamilton. In a matter of months, Mr. Hamilton, the…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions