Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
3.30median
-123
Median 3.30
Install
California's 34th District margin of victory (2026)
The odds
5.96median
-335
Median 5.96
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.24 on Oct 19, 5.96 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Gonzales-Torres, 1+ pts | 73% | ▼ 1 | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | |
| Angela Gonzales-Torres, 5+ pts | 55% | 50¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| Angela Gonzales-Torres, 10+ pts | 29% | 24¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | ||
| Angela Gonzales-Torres, 15+ pts | 11% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| Angela Gonzales-Torres, 20+ pts | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| Angela Gonzales-Torres, 25+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | ||
| Angela Gonzales-Torres, 30+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California
Search ›-
California’s road to recovery runs through D.C. RepublicansBy Jeremy B. White 05/07/2020 08:44 PM EDT OAKLAND — California has come to a conclusion around its budget in the pandemic era: Only the feds can save us now. Gov. Gavin Newsom and his financial advisers have long warned that the federal… -
Steve Hilton unveils his vision for California bullet trainCalifornia gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is pitching a dramatic end to the state’s troubled high-speed rail project — imagining a future where the multibillion-dollar undertaking is transformed into a monument to government failure… -
LA’s top federal prosecutor scorches California after noncitizen voters battleLos Angeles’ top federal prosecutor has warned the upcoming midterm elections are under serious risk of being “corrupted” in California. Bill Essayli said he was concerned noncitizen votes were already being counted across the state, with… -
Justice Department faces skeptical appeals court panel in California ballot fightAll three judges voiced concerns that the DOJ rushed too quickly to the appeals court while a lower-court judge was still weighing the matter. Ballots are sorted the day after California's primary election at the LA County Ballot… -
DOJ's voter fraud investigation continues as California early voting centers openCBS News Los Angeles is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KCAL-TV and channel 9, CBS News Los Angeles offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. DOJ's voter… -
California abortion rights advocate sweats Biden drag on House racesJodi Hicks, president of Planned Parenthood California, indicated Democrats were taking a big risk in losing the House if they stuck with President Joe Biden. Jodi Hicks, an ally of the vice president and a major player in the capital city… -
LA’s top federal prosecutor says California elections already in jeopardyLos Angeles’ top federal prosecutor fears noncitizens could be illegally casting ballots in California as dozens of polling places opened across LA County Saturday, warning the state could be trying to run out the clock before disputed… -
Ninth Circuit questions Trump DOJ's emergency request to set aside 20,000 California mail ballotsA three-judge federal appeals panel questioned the Trump administration's emergency bid to set aside roughly 20,000 California mail ballots tied to suspected noncitizens ahead of the midterms, with a ruling pending. A federal appeals court… -
Judges skeptical of Trump administration effort to force California to set aside mail ballotsA three-judge US Circuit Court of Appeals panel expressed significant skepticism Sunday over the Justice Department’s desire to inject itself into California’s midterm vote-counting process by forcing election officials to set aside the… -
Ex-NFL punter turned California Democrat sparks fury with ‘racist’ banana stunt: ‘Toxic mockery’California Democrats are facing backlash over a political mailer depicting a Latina Republican candidate as a banana sticker, with the Orange County GOP blasting the image as a racially degrading attack. The mailer, paid for by the… -
California leaders rebuke Trump administration’s push over alleged noncitizen votingCalifornia’s top leaders have rebuked the Trump administration’s efforts to quash alleged noncitizen voting. Less than two weeks before the midterms, federal prosecutors called upon California election officials to verify within 48 hours a… -
The California climate move-out10/23/2026 07:30 PM EDT With help from Noah Baustin and Alex Nieves Extreme weather could force more Californians to leave their homes. | Ethan Swope/AP PACK YOUR BAGS: More wildfires, greater flooding, longer and more extreme heat waves…
Related markets
All elections ›Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
13%Jones, 1+ pts
-19
Florida's 9th District margin of victory
44%Green, 4+ pts
125
Florida's 14th District margin of victory
19%Beltran, 2+ pts
-111
Florida's 22nd District margin of victory
25%Askar, 2+ pts
-114
Florida's 25th District margin of victory
11%Singer, 1+ pts
-210
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions