WI-08 House winner?

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $236 today · $14K traded · $3.2K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

89%Tony Wied

Tony Wied89%▼ 1
Rick Crosson11%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Tony Wied: 89% on Oct 20, 89% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Tony Wied	89%	▼ 1	88¢	90¢	$1.11	13.9K
Rick Crosson	11%	▲ 1	10¢	13¢	$7.69	14.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: WI- House, Tony Wied, Rick Crosson

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The actions of the U.S. military are deeply personal for Rick Crosson, who looks to upset Tony Wied in northern WisconsinThe Milwaukee Courier · 4 days agoSource: Provided by the Crosson campaign Oct 21, 2026, 4:16 PM CT Rick Crosson, longshot candidate for Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District, comes from a military family and this race is personal to him. Crosson is an Army brat that has…
Liveblog: Candidates for Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District debate on WFRVAOL.com · 4 days agoGREEN BAY, Wis. (WFRV) - WFRV Local 5 is hosting a debate with the candidates running for Wisconsin's 8th Congressional district Tuesday afternoon. Incumbent US Representative Tony Wied (R) and former US Army member & political newcomer…
WATCH: Candidates for Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District debate on WFRVAOL.com · 3 days agoGREEN BAY, Wis. (WFRV) - WFRV Local 5 hosted a debate with the candidates running for Wisconsin's 8th Congressional district Thursday afternoon. Incumbent US Representative Tony Wied (R) and US Army veteran & political newcomer Rick…
New Crowley ad slams Tiffany for voting to block the release of the Epstein files while protecting TrumpThe Milwaukee Courier · 4 days agoCongressman Tom Tiffany voted to block the release of the Epstein files, which President Donald Trump is mentioned in thousands of times. Oct 21, 2026, 12:05 PM CT Democratic nominee for Wisconsin governor David Crowley released a new TV…
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to Votejudiciary.house.gov · 5 days agoWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration…
Republican Incumbent Tony Wied Faces Challenger in 8th Congressional DistrictUrban Milwaukee · 9 days agoDemocratic Army veteran Rick Crosson ties Wied to Trump and stock trading. Republican Tony Wied of De Pere is running for reelection to represent northeast Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District against Democrat Rick Crosson of Green Bay…
Republican incumbent Tony Wied faces Democrat Rick Crosson in northeast Wisconsin Congressional raceWPR · 10 days agoRepublican former small business owner squares off against Democrat Army veteran Republican Tony Wied of De Pere is running for reelection to represent northeast Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District against Democrat Rick Crosson of Green…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onLibrary of Congress

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 11:00 AM ET

Traded$14K (28,014 contracts)

Today$236

This week$623

At stake$3.2K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the House member sworn in for WI-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

The race

The candidates, the incumbent, every market on this race and its coverage: the race on 4Conservative Politics ›

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions