KalshiElections › HouseCloses Nov 3, 2027 · $11K traded · $3.2K at stake · prices read 29 min ago
The odds
97%Adam Smith
Adam Smith97%▼ 1
Doug Basler3%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Adam Smith: 97% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Adam Smith
97%
▼ 1
97¢
98¢
$1.02
11.2K
Doug Basler
3%
▲ 1
2¢
3¢
$33.33
3.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
America’s Best of Times, Worst of Times: Can Adam Smith Save the Future?@amspectator · 41 h agoThe first line of Dicken’s Tale of Two Cities resonates even today: “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times.” Then as now there is an optimistic and pessimistic perspective on the present, and by extension, the future. Which…
Adam Smith and Doug Basler clash again in WA 9th district raceFOX 13 Seattle · 7 days agoRepublican challenger Doug Basler is taking on incumbent Adam Smith in the battle for Washington's 9th Congressional District, the sixth time the candidates have faced each other in the race. SEATTLE - Representative Adam Smith and…
Dem Rep. Adam Smith: 'Trump and Musk Are Fascists'Breitbart News · 5 days agoDem Rep. Adam Smith: ‘Trump and Musk Are Fascists’ Breitbart News On Tuesday’s broadcast of CNN’s “The Arena,” Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA) said President Donald Trump and Elon Musk are “fascists.” Smith said, “It certainly seems like, you know…
Rep. Adam Smith: Trump Should Face ImpeachmentThe Contrarian · 6 days agoTrump promised to end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours over 53 times. Well, it’s almost two years later, and Trump has failed to negotiate a peace deal with Russia. The longer the war goes on, the friendlier Trump gets with Putin, and…
Adam Smith: Trump Should Be Impeached for Disobeying Court OrdersBreitbart · 6 days agoBreitbart News On Tuesday’s broadcast of CNN’s “The Arena,” Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA) said President Donald Trump should be impeached because he is “disobeying” court orders. Host Kasie Hunt said, “Do you think Democrats should impeach the…
In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessLongview Daily News · 6 days agoWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington…
Headed to California to Fight Trump’s Election DesperationThe Contrarian · 2 days agoWhat is causing this freakout in the courts? Perhaps it’s early-voting numbers. They Want Us to Fear the Ballot. We Can’t Give Them That Victory. Diamond Brown and Jonathan Barry-Blocker wrote on the Trump regime’s desperate lengths to…
WA deploys National Guard at ballot boxes for election securityFOX 13 Seattle · 3 days agoElection security is top of mind, especially for Clark County Auditor Greg Kimsey, after someone lit an explosive inside a ballot box in Vancouver, Washington back in 2024. EVERETT, Wash. - Washington National Guard troops will be at…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions