AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
WA-04 House winner?
The odds
89%Amanda McKinney
- Amanda McKinney89%▼ 1
- John Duresky10%
How the odds have moved
Amanda McKinney: 92% on Oct 20, 89% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda McKinney | 89% | ▼ 1 | 88¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 26.8K |
| John Duresky | 10% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 9.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, Amanda McKinney, John Duresky
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Interview: Congressional candidate John DureskyBoth sides of Initiative 638, a widely debated issue tackling transgender athletes, were explained this week on TVW. Read moreExplainer: Initiative 638 regarding transgender participation in K-12 sports John Duresky, candidate to replace… -
John Duresky and Amanda McKinney share their thoughts on data centersDemocrat John Duresky and Republican Amanda McKinney are running for Congress in the 4th Congressional District. Across Central Washington, leaders are facing questions about the role data centers should play in their communities. Fourth… -
Still undecided? 7 things to know about Central WA candidates for CongressTri-City Herald Republican Amanda McKinney and Democrat John Duresky are vying to replace retiring U.S. Rep. Dan Newhouse in Washington’s 4th Congressional District, with the general election set for Nov. 3. The two candidates have clashed… -
Explainer: Initiative 638 regarding transgender participation in K-12 sportsBoth sides of Initiative 638, a widely debated issue tackling transgender athletes, were explained this week on TVW. Read moreExplainer: Initiative 638 regarding transgender participation in K-12 sports John Duresky, candidate to replace… -
NWCLIFE Sportscast with Nathan Eshelman | October 23, 2026Both sides of Initiative 638, a widely debated issue tackling transgender athletes, were explained this week on TVW. Read moreExplainer: Initiative 638 regarding transgender participation in K-12 sports Eastmont School District is… -
Wenatchee Panthers reflect on their football journey before Senior NightBoth sides of Initiative 638, a widely debated issue tackling transgender athletes, were explained this week on TVW. Read moreExplainer: Initiative 638 regarding transgender participation in K-12 sports Eastmont School District is… -
In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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Your Voice, Your Vote: live NCW election forumTwo Republicans are on the ballot for Chelan County auditor: incumbent Brandt Cappell and retired Wenatchee Valley Fire Department Chief Brian Brett. Read moreChelan County auditor candidates focus on elections, finances, accountability… -
Your Voice, Your Vote: Callan Martinez, Douglas County prosecuting attorney candidateThirteen candidates from seven races are participating in a live election forum hosted by NCWLIFE and The Wenatchee World. Read moreYour Voice, Your Vote: live NCW election forum Two Republicans are on the ballot for Chelan County auditor… -
Your Voice, Your Vote: Maggie Adams, District 12, representative position 2 candidateThirteen candidates from seven races are participating in a live election forum hosted by NCWLIFE and The Wenatchee World. Read moreYour Voice, Your Vote: live NCW election forum Two Republicans are on the ballot for Chelan County auditor… -
Yakima Herald-Republic voting guideA vote sign sits in front of Yakima County Courthouse Tuesday, Aug. 4, 2026, in Yakima, Wash. Voting is underway in Yakima County. The deadline to turn in your ballot is 8 p.m. Nov. 3, but don’t wait until the last minute. If you haven’t…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions