AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
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VA-06 House winner?
The odds
93%Ben Cline
- Ben Cline93%
- Beth Macy7%
How the odds have moved
Ben Cline: 93% on Oct 20, 93% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Cline | 93% | 93¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 24.0K | |
| Beth Macy | 7% | 7¢ | 7¢ | $13.51 | 36.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Ben Cline, Beth Macy
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Reese Bull | Ben Cline: The barbarian behind the scenes in CongressSixth District Congressman Ben Cline says protesters who disagree with him are “socialist barbarians.” Ben Cline is not an independent thinker. He simply repeats scripts given to him by his MAGA masters. Lacking plans to address real… -
Blogger reminds us of the Ben Cline selfies with Elon Musk, Vivek RamaswamyDOGE, seems so quaint now, doesn’t it? The latest news with Musk is that he decided on his own to throttle Ukrainian military access to Starlink, which has benefited from the $38 billion in federal taxpayer subsidies that we’ve given to… -
Reese Bull | The Trump $90 Medicare bribe, and Google’s $2,000 Ben Cline bribeI found an unexpected $90 in our online bank statement. It must be my wife’s Trump Medicare Bribe, because POTUS sent her a nice letter. My $90 has not arrived. No other president has offered a bribe for our votes, not even Tricky Dick… -
Democrats aim fundraising firehose at Beth Macy weeks before electionWith Election Day mere weeks away and early voting already underway, Democrats are turning the fundraising firehose on Virginia's ruby-red 6th Congressional District in hopes of flipping it blue. Democratic congressional candidate Beth… -
Open Forum: Beth Macy will work for usBeth Macy, Congressional candidate for the 6th District, speaks with Gov. Abigail Spanberger during an event organized by the Augusta County Democratic Committee at Grand Caverns on Sept. 20. Macy knows the 6th and its people and their… -
Open Forum: Listen to President TrumpPresident Donald Trump dances at a campaign rally at Heartland Credit Union Arena on Monday in Park City, Kan. Trump believes in tariffs. He has used them frequently to punish allies. If you believe that tariffs are good for the country… -
Analysis: Where Beth Macy, Ben Cline are spending their campaign dollarsUsually, when us politics writers analyze campaign finance reports in a political race, we focus on where the money is coming from, but I wanted to do something different with the most recent data from the Ben Cline-Beth Macy race in the… -
Beth Macy delivers working-class message at rally, urges community to voteFall is in the air, and celebrations are happening across the Valley. The Town of Elkton celebrated the season with its annual Autumn Days Festival, featuring fun activities, local vendors and plenty ... Beth Macy delivers working-class… -
6th District race remains a battle of the party basesFormer Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin, left, shakes hands with Virginia Congressman Ben Cline after campaigning for him on Oct. 13 at the West Oaks Farm Market on Middle Road in Frederick County. Beth Macy, Congressional candidate for… -
Hundreds rally in Grandin Village demanding statewide data center moratoriumMore than 200 Roanoke Valley residents gathered in Grandin Village on Wednesday afternoon, demanding Virginia lawmakers impose an immediate freeze on new data center approvals as Google explores two major regional facilities. Demonstrators… - Yvonne Surette | On Congressman Ben Cline and the myth of ‘socialist barbarians’The phrase, “mom, apple pie and baseball” was coined in the early 20th century. No one is sure of its origins. It’s a kind of code for a certain ideal of an America – one where citizens can enjoy their favorite pastime in security and…
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Bettors pick a winner in Cline-Macy race; experts discuss whether to trust itBlacksburg, Va. (WDBJ) - You can bet on Congress like the Super Bowl. Whether that bet accurately predicts the winner is another question. According to Kalshi, more than $70,000 has been wagered on Virginia’s 6th Congressional District…
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All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
- Rhett Marques69%
- Shomari Figures31%
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
98%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt98%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%
AL-06 House winner?
98%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer98%
- Maurice Mercer2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions